What do you think will win the tug of war? The downbeat of obvious economic principles, or the upbeat of sporadic well-timed positive news releases?

Firstly, I am a novice... hence the question. I see a bit of tug of war. Economic principles say that when shipping containers are down 30% give or take that there will be supply chain issues (IE empty shelves) and they also say that 10% tariffs have massive consequences much less increasing some of our foes to 140%+. Flipside, there are a lot of countries in the world. I don't doubt, each half-positive announcement will cause a positive bump in the market because the market wants to believe (as do I, as an optimist realist)

Could not positive news be released intentionally to mitigate the downsides? What do you think the net will be over the short and then long term?

I realize I'm asking Reddit, which isn't the greatest single-source for investment guidance. That said, see you all as friends (in a way) and we're in this together (very much in a way) So... Thoughts?