Phase 1. All is well. Most predict stock price increase over the year. That tarrif threat is not founded. ' Never bet against America '
Phase 2. Trump comes out with huge tariffs that look to destroy the economy and cause recession. The logical step is to sell before it's too late, market is crashing and stock prices go down as people sell. Some people buy but warnings everywhere ' Do not be a hero. Do not try to stop a falling knive '
Phase/ Incident 3. Someone comes out who claims to have inside information that Trump is planning to pause the tarrifs for 90 days. And there are talks with most countries so chances are they won't even happen anymore. Things are looking up again, people start getting hope, markets look to recover.
Trump comes out ' the rumous are not true. There will be no pause. Tariffs are mEDiciNE ' People freak out and sell, Trump's friends are buying harder than ever. Stock price swings back and forth as a result.
Phase 4. Few more days pass, Trump comes out and proudly declares, actually, I AM pausing the tariffs for 90 days. Suprise, motherfuckerz ! Stock prices go up instantly.
All smokes and mirrors, but Trump's insiders are much richer in a few days, while the rest is poorer.
sorry for quality, posting from phone in work break