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REDDIT

Timing the Market is not always wrong

H
Mar 15, 2025 · 12:54

The popular opinion “ You should not try to time the market” is WRONG. Most of the time, all news is known by all and already factored into the market. At those times, you as likely to be wrong as you are to be right if you attempt to time the market. But there are times when the news is NOT properly priced into the market, and now is perhaps the strongest example of that in my lifetime. Trump has done so many things that have to tank the market, but the damage has not yet shown up in the reports on wages, employment, business profits over the next year, individual and business bankruptcy rates, inflation, and unemployment. The rosy p/e s of the past 5 or more years are no longer justified. And as those numbers are reported over the next 12 months, the market will crash. You should only try to time the market at times like these.