Buy FIGR by Aug 14, 2026.

Figure Technology (FIGR) reports Q2 on August 13. Stock's at $29.61, which sounds like a lot until you notice it's still **62% below its $78 high**. Options are pricing a **±14.7%** move, symmetrically — same odds either direction. I don't think it's symmetric. The #s are already publicly published on Figure's website here: [https://figure.com/investors/metrics](https://figure.com/investors/metrics) Here's my ladder: |Scenario|Prob|Price zone| |:-|:-|:-| |Blowout — rev ≥$220M, Connect take ≥2.9%, Q3 guide ≥$5.3B|25%|$33–37| |Base beat — rev $200–220M, EBITDA $100–115M|40%|$31–34| |Soft beat / …