Posts
How to Interpret the Hawkish Signals from Warsh's Friday Speech
💡 **Note**: This article was created with the assistance of AI. On Friday, the Federal Reserve Chairman delivered his most hawkish speech since taking office at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. Markets reacted sharply, with the probability of a September rate hike surging from 35% to 60%. What clear signals …
Why behavior and decision-making, not information, is holding you back
Many decades ago, technology was limited, and information asymmetry could be more effectively arbitraged to achieve outperformance. Let’s imagine a relatively unknown company whose market capitalization was trading below book value. Their financial data was shoved towards the back of a Moody’s Manual in the days before the internet. Only …
FCNTX/FLCNX vs sp500/voo
Sp500 funds are generally much lower in fees but what do you guys think of FCNTX (contrafund)? Worried about Will Danoff retiring after 35 years. You think it will still be worth the premium over voo?
Marimekko (HEL: MEKKO)
A Finnish company that sells clothes, home decor items and, bags and accessories. These are my 2 cents on Marimekko. STRENGTHS: 1. Growth and profit ratios are very good, an average 30% both ROE and ROCE in the last 10 years. An average 22% CAGR in their net income, operating …
Conceptual understanding of time value of money
Hello everyone, I'm learning about value investing and there is a conceptual thing I think I am struggling with that I hope someone can try to explain to me. We try to figure out free money a business will generate in the future, and we discount it back to the …
Subscription-Based Analysis Tools?
I’ve relied on free services such as Yahoo Finance, ChatGPT, along with my brokerage tools (Fidelity, Thinkor Swim) historically. Are there any subscription-based tools that you think are worth it for analyzing large numbers of stocks, perhaps ones that allow customizations and/or exports? Not for stock screening as much as …
FCFF DCF template (with MSFT, META and GOOGL data) End August 2026
Attached is a DCF template that i used to value the hyperscalers.I am just sharing it here in case anyone wants to experiment with it. [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1oexuOkRTpnQCPWyQDTiE-Z2OEihBfci6FLysPJIysR4/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1oexuOkRTpnQCPWyQDTiE-Z2OEihBfci6FLysPJIysR4/edit?usp=sharing) Please read the notes in the Google Sheet tab. I have listed down the assumptions: **Notes on the valuation** **Purpose**: i try to have …
Round 3 on OCL - My Investment Strategy and Company Valuation
It has been an interesting journey analysing OCL, with plenty of ups and downs along the way before reaching an investment decision. My view is that the company has developed a credible strategy to address a significant challenge that is already here: Microsoft 365. This threat is real and material, …
Perfect Timing Was Worth Almost Nothing
A reminder why dollar cost averaging and value investing long-term is worth the effort. Better sleep at night for basically the same returns... have a read
Did I make a mistake by buying STRL after their recent pullback(s)?
I have a 'durable AI' watchlist and one of the stocks I was having a look at, was Sterling Infrastructure. They are almost down 50% of their all time highs and because Sterling has such a great backlog and so many contracts already, I thought now was the time to …