Posts
Cake Box Holdings: A Quality Growth Business at a Bargain Valuation
Cake Box (LON: CBOX) is the UK's leading fresh cream celebration cake retailer, and I think it's a pretty interesting small cap right now. Store count grew from 113 to 276 between FY19 and FY26, revenue went from £16.9M to £45.9M (£59.9M if last year's acquisition is included), and it …
$AAP on the Watchlist now
Big drop in a stock that has been dragging the last year. This situation has quite a different profile that FISV which I also wrote about today. AAP sold a large wholesale business to Carlyle in 2024. This resulted is dramatically higher gross profit margin. Revenue growth is stagnant TTM. …
Why are Chinese AI Stocks so undervalued
Think about BABA, Tencent, BIDU etc: \-they are technically as good as US Mag7 \-their asset diversification (AI, Cloud, e-commerce, gaming ..) is very similar, sometimes better \-yes there is the legal saber rattling from the US Govt, but their models are likely to be what is affordable to the …
$FISV: One year since the last collapse and still no signs of fundamental improvement
Like many of us, I am following FISV since it was such an incredible company for so long it is hard to believe the stock will not recover at some point. I do not think that point is here yet. For this post, I used the Seeking Alpha data feed, …
PayPal: Endgame
After Stripe and Advent now dropped their bid… The fate of this god forsaken fintech we know as PayPal has now become increasingly more uncertain. On one hand PayPal has 200M active accounts, $6.5B in FCF, a complete ecosystem from merchants to consumers and a peer to peer payments service …
Best free resource/course to learn value investing from scratch?
Hey everyone, I’m looking to properly learn value investing from the ground up, but I’m having trouble finding a good structured, step-by-step resource. There’s so much information on YouTube and online, but I don’t really want to jump between random videos and not know what I should be learning next. …
When does 'overvalued but still a good business' become a sell for you?
Do you sell a winner that has become significantly overvalued, or hold if the business is still fine? Example: I have a position in PANW, up 141% since April (bought at $154, now $371), and now significantly overvalued on my numbers. The obvious move is to sell, wait for a …
I’ve invested in IREN despite the stock’s hate. This is why.
I’ll start by saying IREN is a second-tier compute seller, showing subpar execution both on construction and sales. However it’s also why it’s interesting. The penalty markets are putting on IREN and other second-tier compute sellers is simply too high given the assets they sit on. Let’s unpack this. Nvidia …
US‑China Competition Lies in Their Capital Systems
On August 23, Alibaba announced a placement of 710 million new shares in Hong Kong to raise approximately 80 billion Hong Kong dollars, equivalent to 10.2 billion US dollars. The company explicitly stated that all net proceeds would go toward artificial intelligence initiatives, including the expansion and upgrade of AI …
AMD took AI GPU share from Nvidia. Can Marvell Technology do the same to Broadcom in custom ASICs & networking?
We’ve seen AMD establish itself as the primary alternative to Nvidia in the AI chip space. Looking at custom silicon and interconnects, Broadcom currently holds a dominant position with major hyperscalers. However, Marvell Technology seems to be positioning itself in a very similar way, gaining serious traction in custom ASICs …