Posts
How you are all preserving capital?
I feel like the stock market is overvalued right now, and the risk/reward isn't there for me personally. Most companies are experimenting with and overspending on AI without any clear ROI yet. The same logic applies to chip and memory stocks, prices are up only because of huge demand driven …
Miner Quick Screener Sheet
[https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1\_9J1v-7NRuYSMMuVXEyB8R7zTJCoJK4J/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=114907155294514129066&rtpof=true&sd=true](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_9J1v-7NRuYSMMuVXEyB8R7zTJCoJK4J/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=114907155294514129066&rtpof=true&sd=true) The tool is extremely simple, you input: Total shares, cash and equivalents, gross debt. Then the production forecast, price of gold, their average AISC and current multiple (Adjust the currency conversion if needed). The sheet then builds a few cascade tables based of those numbers and haircut derivatives, and …
I built a simple page that lists deals, discounts, and free plans for investing tools
I created a free page with discounts, promos, and free plans for investment tools. It’s updated every week, currently has 30+ deals, and some of them are temporary, so you have to be quick. It’s 100% free, so I thought I’d share it in case it’s useful. Some affiliate links …
Microsoft Reverse DCF
I estimated FY36 FCF of big tech (MSFT in this case) and what it would take for Microsoft to deliver given my desired rate of return to be 12%. It is working backwards to see what market cap makes sense from FY36 FCF. Grill me on my assumptions as I'm …
A first simple valuation of Honeywell Aerospace ($hona)
**TLDR**: this is an early attempt to do a valuation of $HONA, the company Honeywell Aerospace which was spun off on the 29th June. Due to the Fog of War (FoW), this aerospace company is priced currently at fair value, i do expect that investors will bid up the price …
I paid myself about $7,600 to panic-sell Intel and then buy it back higher. Same shares.
I still feel a little sick about this one. Intel was my highest-conviction pick. The only American company that still makes its own chips, the last one standing anywhere near TSMC. I actually believed in it. Then earnings hit, worst day in the company’s history, and I watched it bleed …
Barratt Redrow (LSE: BTRW) – buying £1 of tangible assets for ~65p?
I’ve been looking at UK housebuilders as value investments, and Barratt Redrow looks particularly interesting at around 279p. The obvious bull case is UK planning reform, political support for housebuilding and eventually lower mortgage rates. But these tailwinds could take years to translate into earnings, so I’m more interested in …
Weekly Stock Ideas Megathread: Week of July 06, 2026
What stocks are on your radar this week? What's undervalued? What's overvalued? This is the place for your quick stock pitches or to ask what everyone else is looking at. *This discussion post is lightly moderated. We suggest checking other users' posting/commenting history before following advice or stock recommendations.* *New …
16 Investment write-ups to look at
Fresh batch of company write-ups from Substack authors, published from within the last week or so. Not my work - sourced from Giles Capital's weekly compilation: [https://gilescapital.substack.com](https://gilescapital.substack.com) # Americas **alphaseeker84** on [**Micron Technology**](https://alphaseeker84.substack.com/p/micron-technology-mu-q3-fy2026-results) (🇺🇸 MU US - US$1.1tn) Cheap only on forward earnings assuming a cyclical peak that holds. Michael …
Long-term growth Core Portfolio review
Hi everyone, I’m looking for some feedback and critiques on my Core portfolio architecture, which is designed for aggressive long-term growth with a 10-15+ year horizon, investing from Chile. # 1. The ETF Core (Global Index Base) This is the fixed allocation for my global base: * **70% IWDA** (iShares …