Posts
Fed starts a rate increase cycle and market goes major risk on.
Anyone else scratching their head at the market's reaction to a rate increase cycle? Shouldn't rising rates trigger a risk off reaction? How are others interpreting the market reaction?
Lennar Corp.: An Attractive Contrarian Value Opportunity Below Book Value
**Disclaimer: I hold shares of Lennar Corp. This is a personal analysis and not investment advice. The figures are based on publicly available information and may change.** At a market capitalization of approximately USD 19–20 billion, Lennar Corp. trades at roughly 1.0–1.1x adjusted tangible book value — approximately in line …
Two insiders just filed a $219.6M open-market buy, and the number alone tells you less than you'd think
Form 4 filings this week: two insiders at Madison Air Solutions (MAIR) disclosed open-market purchases totaling $219.6M. Same week, smaller filings came in from insiders at ACDC ($5.7M), DKS ($3.8M) and INBX ($3.5M). The instinct is to treat the $219.6M as the strongest signal on the list because it's the …
Everyone knows Nvidia, Google, and Amazon. How do you find all the good companies that never make the headlines?
The same ten companies get talked about everywhere. But there are thousands of public companies, and plenty of them are solid businesses that people in their industry know well and the rest of us have never looked at. Think of something like Adobe. Not a secret, not tiny, just not …
Is Walmart overvalued?
At first glance, a 4.16 PEG ratio looks like a red flag for traditional value seekers. However, the underlying data may tell a different story. WMT is successfully transitioning from a low-margin retail model to a high-margin, tech-enabled ecosystem. This is driven by two main engines: digital advertising and membership …
State Street at 15.9x earnings is cheap for what it actually does
State Street's the custody bank, they hold and administer assets for other institutions. Not exactly a sexy business which might be why it trades at under 16x trailing earnings while a lot of "boring compounder" financials get a much richer multiple. ROE's a respectable 12.4%, margins are fine for the …
How many long-term value / trend followers utilze trailing stops?
Would be interesting to understand the exit mechanism of most value investors. I was writing a post on it, and I think it's a technique many underuse. I've held onto value stocks too long and given up paper profits I shouldn't have. Stubborn to exit with profit only to end …
Could you have spotted Enron’s fraud before it collapsed?
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What analysts and insiders are actually telling you
I've been making a YouTube series on how to pick a stock, one step per video. It's called How to Invest and it's built around Terry Smith's "buy good companies, don't overpay, do nothing". The earlier ones were about the business itself and the price. Episode 6 is about everyone …