Posts
[Week 21 - 1985] Discussing A Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letter (Almost) Every Week
**Full Letter:** https://theoraclesclassroom.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/1985-Berkshire-AR.pdf **Letter Only** https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/1985.html This week we will go over two segments and an acquisition. One is a really wonderful and insightful writeup on executive and managerial compensation, and the costs and benefits of compensating with cash vs stock vs options and Buffett’s reprimanding of some practices that …
Amprius Technologies could be a real way to get exposure to the drone/aviation battery sector.
I have been following AMPX for some time now and it feels like one of those stocks where the actual company progress has been pretty damn good, but the chart still manages to make you feel like you’re missing something. On the bull side, I don’t think the story is …
Rheinmetall (RHM): Market just handed out a discount?
Everyone is panicking over the recent pullback, but the fundamentals don't seem to care. At around €930/share, Rheinmetall is trading at what looks like a growth-stock valuation for a company whose earnings are projected to explode over the next two years. **The numbers are wild:** 2025 EPS: \~€18.5 2026 EPS …
Is now a good moment to sell saas and buy semiconductors?
If I'm down less than 20% with saas like Microsoft and Adobe, is now a good moment to sell them and buy semiconductors and hardware companies like Micron and Sandisk? It looks like saas will be slowly destroyed by AI in a few years. Micron had excellent earnings yesterday, and …
How do you distinguish between patience and dead money?
I know the 'S' word is taboo in this sub, but I have been re-evaluating my portfolio and I'm struggling with the decision-making framework around selling positions that are down significantly. A few years into investing, I've accumulated a number of smaller positions. Some are down 20-30%, some much more. …
A quantitative approach to valuing Yum China ($YUMC)
# A quantitative approach to valuing Yum China ($YUMC) *(YumC is paying $1.2bn to own the Pizza Hut brand in china, this removes the 2.8% royalty fees it has to pay Yum Brands. The shares has since fallen lower and YUMC is a forgotten child in the world of fast …
MU: On a Tear. From Downcycle to Super Growth?
In 2026, the AI hardware spotlight has shifted from compute to storage capacity. As U.S. AI equities wobble, **MU’s print is fast becoming the new bellwether.** Micron posted results after hours on Jun 24 (FQ3 FY26, quarter ended May), delivering in style and taking up the AI infra baton. The …
Dropbox: The Buyback You Forgot About
Thoughts on my drop box thesis? I estimate that it is 33% undervalued and can generate a 16% IRR over the next 7 years. \- over 18 million paying users. \- Priced as though the company is bleeding users when in fact they have increased by 5 million over the …
Monthly recap
It’s end of the month and time for the recap. So my top 10 losers are: 1 Bidu 2 baba 3 ZS 4 meta 5 netflix 6 msft 7 rddt 8 ibit. I cut the other losing positions and realized losses on many this month. my take at this month: …
A Specific MSFT Breakdown - Rule One Investing
Are you familiar with the book "Rule One Investing" by Phil Town? It basically gives you specific steps for analyzing a company using the Buffett method, and I find it interesting to look at MSFT this way. Basic gist of this breakdown - MSFT is currently at its "Sticker Price" …