Posts
Indonesia stock market Crash
\*\*Is ***Indonesia*** becoming one of the most interesting contrarian emerging-market trades?\*\* I feel like almost nobody is talking about Indonesia right now. And looking at the chart… I kind of understand why. The Indonesian market has been an absolute disaster in 2026. By the end of August, Indonesian equities were …
Oil Short Stocks
I've been looking at the situation in Hormuz, reading various articles, observing US politics, and the start of this, the fundamental thesis is that I think oil has probably hit peak. Once a commodity reaches a certain price, people will put in a lot more effort to transport it. I'm …
Five homebuilders are down 19% to 58%. But are they cheaper?
Chatter about homebuilders has picked up since Berkshire bought LEN, so I went through five of the big US builders to see if any of them are value stocks. They all peaked within ten weeks of each other in late 2024 and every one is down since, while the Russell …
Google. Keep adding?
Curious about thoughts on GOOG here. I have a small position in it but planning on adding more, holding for next 20 years until I die. Do we still believe Google is the one. Or maybe it’s not a we question but as far as tech goes. It’s just been …
TSLA and PANW: Arent they currently overvalued?
I get why Tesla is liie it is: Musk stock. But still based on my valuation it current market price is 25% beyond my future expectation valuation. Iam i missing sth. in their fundamentals that is missing? My model includes net income, fcf and equity. That should cover most of …
I'm still betting on 1970s Vertical Market Software - and not Meta Muse.
Reading this title in the age of AI, some will probably think I’m crazy. You’ll also think I’m crazy holding over half a million dollars between Constellation Software and Topicus while frontier labs, Metas, Amazons, and Googles of the world develop the next generation of agents to plan our vacations, …
Started buying $PLNT this week
Recurring subscription revenue, numbers look decent, peg ratio low enough. Analyst price targets look good. I know it's consumer discretionary which has been doing pretty poorly with higher rates and oil at the moon. Yes there is competition, but the brand is very strong. Regardless I think it's a buy. …
Thoughts about NOVO?
P/E < 10. One of the top producers of GLP-1 medications. Why is the stock so undervalued?
Enova International(ENVA)
Recently the stock dropped over 25% since it ceased to acquire a small digital bank. However, it still reiterated on earnings for 3rd quarter which it expects a 25% growth. Wondering what fundamentally changed about the business for people to price it 25% lower? Its forward PE is extremely low …
Who's chasing cybersecurity names at these valuations?
Disclaimer: I own both CRWD and PANW, but the last time I bought them was during the Feb/March SaaSpocalyse scare. But back to my title - who is chasing these names? at $200, I found $CRWD hard to justify (and did trim), and now at $250+ it's just wacky IMO. …