Posts
Microsoft is spending more but reporting less
Quick follow-up for anyone who saw my earlier [posts on Microsoft and its AI spending](https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/comments/1uio0by/six_months_ago_we_called_microsoft_overvalued_at/). They reported Q4 FY26 tonight, the stock jumped 8%, and it's worth a look at what the market rewarded. The quarter was genuinely strong. Revenue of $90.0B (up 18%), non-GAAP EPS of $4.74 (up 23%), …
LONG NETFLIX INC
**Pros** \- Paramount/WBD merger creates a highly leveraged competitor with questionable management. \- Strong FCF and balance sheet \- Best in class brand equity \- Trading below historical norms ( PE ). \- Continued tailwinds in Emerging/Frontier markets \- AI lowering production costs \- Strong management (pioneering talent density). **Cons** …
META: Why did the income stop growing?
**The numbers Q2:** Operating Cashflow: 32.2 → 31. 9 Bil. $ Gain: 26.8 → 15.9 Bil. $ Free Cash Flow: 12.4 → 0.8 Bil. $ Free Cash flow has declined obviously due to Capex. But the operating cashflow hasn't changed (-1%) in this quarter. Did something happened to the ad …
When is a good entry point for KOSPI/SK stocks?
Seems like they had a massive crash and everything is on sale, have a bit of dry powder and am considering putting in some stake tommorrow, anyone else planning the same or is there more room for liquidation, most of the top SK stocks have really good fundamentals at current …
Some thoughts about COSTAR GROUP (CSGP)
* **Market Capitalization:** \~$12.18 billion * **Enterprise Value (EV):** \~$12.12 billion * **Shares Outstanding:** \~408.36 million * **EV/Revenue Multiple:** \~3.62x EV = Market Cap. the company holds roughly zero net debt **Apartments com** alone earns **625M EBITDA** 79% gross margin. If **Apartments com** alone earns **625M EBITDA**, but the entire …
Do you remember Adobe's "moat"?
is it not clear to EVERYONE that AI takeover is a total FLOP? today (7/29) was a clear signal that ADBE is not only safe from AI takeover but also fed disruptions. I think when people talk about adobe's "moat", these past couple days are that moat starting to work! …
What am I missing on Micron other than China and "AI might be in a bubble."?
I am looking at the freefall of Micron and I cannot believe it. A company with a margin of 80%, ridiculous amount of free cash flow, worth well enough to cover debt, explosive revenue growth, and right now at a p/e of 17 with future p/e of 5. I could …
MSFT Q4 Results
MSFT just posted a bonkers Q4 and well exceeded the Street’s expectations. Why’s this sub so quiet?? $90B total rev. Lowered CapEx forecast from $190B to $175B. Azzure growth accelerated to 43%. Strong forward guidance. Stock up 7% after hours. LFG!!
Ran Amazon through my valuation model. It flagged it as a compounder and then refused to buy it.
Quick context first for anyone who needs it. Amazon is really three businesses stapled together: a retail marketplace, a logistics network, and AWS, the cloud infrastructure arm where most of the profit actually comes from. Advertising has quietly become a fourth. Retail runs on thin margins and volume, AWS runs …
Parsons ($PSN) - Down 35%, Good Entry Point?
Hey all, this is my first post so hopefully I follow the rules correctly. I am very new to the investing world so I am trying to learn all that I can. A stock I have been keeping an eye is Parsons ($PSN). It is a engineering, defense, and critical …