Posts
$MU could beat earnings and still fall. Here's Why:
I’ve been thinking about Micron heading into earnings. AI has created enormous demand for memory, almost unlike anything we've ever seen before. So it’s easy to look at the business and assume a strong report would send the stock higher just based purely on the results, in which they've double …
Questions investors rarely ask
When analyzing a company’s moat, one question does a lot of the work for me: how vulnerable is this business to being replaced by something that solves the same problem in a different way? I think that often gets overlooked. What’s one question you find especially useful that you think …
GS / Goldman Sachs trading around $900 (22% off YTD high). Buy?
Thoughts about Goldman at these levels? It's fallen hard but long-term it seems like a great value play? Maybe BX is better? BX seems to have more real estate exposure though (which may already be priced in - or maybe it's not?!) Let me know your thoughts please 😄
TME fell 65% in a year while net profit grew 66%. I valued it 3 ways — it looks absurdly cheap. Tell me what I'm missing.
Tencent Music (TME) is down \~65% from its 52-week high of $24.25, currently sitting at $8.37 — basically at its 52-week low of $7.70. Meanwhile FY2025: revenue +15.8% to RMB32.9B, net profit attributable +66% to RMB11.1B, operating profit +53%, RMB38B in cash against \~RMB3.5B of debt, and it pays a …
Looking to get started
Where do I start I’ve debated this on and off but I need to get into it. Quit gambling because obviously that’s just blowing my money so I want something a bit less risky. I’m not in this as a job, more or so an investment. Any tips of where …
FICO - is this now a falling knife or another Visa / Mastercard temporary decline?
Fico fell 22% overnight on news of opening up the credit score market. It's lost half its value this year. Not pretty. Although on one hand the business is still doing well, so far there is not a huge exodus of revenue. If they hold to their estimates the next …
Micron's last 10-Q, before Wednesday: the unit that sells memory for phones and PCs shipped fewer bits than a year earlier and still had the highest gross margin in the company
Micron reports fiscal Q4 on Wednesday. Most of the preview talk is about HBM and the $50bn guide. The last 10-Q, for the quarter ended 28 May and filed on 25 June, has a business-unit table that tells a slightly different story about where the margin came from. \*\*The four …
Help needed
16 year old Hi I have approximately 20% of my portfolio in BROOKFIELD CORP (BN) average price of 43usd and im thinking of selling it to buy more hhh which is 16% of my port as I think even after the current surge is still undervalued and i don't feel …
Galliford Try
I’ve just sat through the GFRD results presentation by the CEO and CFO. Absolute snoozefest. Waste water? Roads? Buidings? Tedious. And that’s just the way I like it. Debt - none Profits - up Cash on hand - tons Dividend - up Share buybacks - yep Massive focus on avoiding …
Anyone already moved their investment analysis work completely to AI?
I like to do stock analysis work on my own. Digging info from reports, putting numbers into spreadsheets, and writing my conclusion/conviction down. But increasingly I’m seeing more of my friends and peers delegating most if not all of their analysis work to AI. From the simplest form of just …