Posts
ZTS - the more I dig, the more I go back and forth on it. Curious what this sub thinks.
Been looking at Zoetis for the past week and I keep landing in different places depending on which part of the analysis I'm staring at. The moat case is real. Animal health doesn't work like human pharma vets don't price shop the way pharmacists do, in vet pharma, generic substitution …
Why you wait for fundamentals to turn on broken growth stocks
One of the great financial tech franchises - $FISV - getting murdered over and over again as we watch. When weakness in the fundamentals drives a stock down, do not invest until the fundamental turn. PYPL fundamentals are also degrading. You have to wait for a sign of the turn. …
Looking Back at Your Own and Others' Thoughts and Comments Is the Best Investing Lesson (2-yr Reddit Thread on Intel, TSMC, Samsung vs Nvidia)
[https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/comments/1dh8a2l/5\_reasons\_why\_intel\_samsung\_and\_tsmc\_may\_be/](https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/comments/1dh8a2l/5_reasons_why_intel_samsung_and_tsmc_may_be/) I really believe that one of the greatest activities that an investor can do is looking back at their comments and think...."hmm, would I have said that in hindsight". What I got right and what I got wrong. I think is one of the best things an investor can …
When do you take profits?
So my first tranche of UNH shares just hit the one year mark and I am up 50% and the hardest part like always at least for me is knowing when to take profits. I have 5 batches I bought as it was falling just about a year ago. Normally …
RDDT is an absolute beast of a company with real catalysts soon to come
Gross margin: 91.5%. That is seven straight quarters above 90%. For every dollar of revenue they keep over 91 cents. That is software margin most companies only dream of. Revenue: $663 million last quarter. Up 69% year over year. The seventh consecutive quarter of growth above 60%. Advertising alone grew …
I’m unable to pick stocks that go up over time
Guys I’ve been trading for the past 13 years and I’m simply unable to pick a stock that goes up over time. Is it not as easy as “if it has steady positive net income, it should go up over time if you buy it cheap?” Take for example right …
Applying Graham/Buffer/Lynch valuation on to SpaceX
Graham would land in the $50–100B range using net asset value and GAAP earnings discipline. The $4.9B net loss, $41B accumulated deficit, and xAI burning $30B+ annually in capex would result in no margin of safety calculation even getting close to the IPO price. He’d value Starlink’s earnings power at …
Netflix may gain from under-16 social media bans
After Australia last year, the UK just announced restrictions on social media apps such as Instagram, TikTok, YouTube and Facebook from being used by the under-16 age group. Many more countries are considering the same. If even a portion of screen time ends up on Netflix, then it can gain …
Intuit vs Adobe
I'm already down 23% on my Adobe shares. Pretty conflicted on whether or not I should average down or put that money on Intuit. Both soared up quickly two weeks ago after the $SNOW earnings beat but have quickly come back down to new lows. I know the narrative is …
Why Netflix is understating it's income
# **Edit: Added a short therm thesis up front to TLDR, make sure to read up on the full article for the full analysis.** # Overall Thesis - Short format Netflix's growth outlook is driven by three self-reinforcing forces. First, the advertising business is scaling rapidly and is expected to …