Posts
What's everyone reading?
So in an effort to discuss something different. What's everyone reading, finance wise, right now? Currently I'm working my way through Quantitative Trading by Chan. Also slowing reading Dividends Still Don't Lie. Next in the queue are Investment Valuation (which I scored used for like $7!) and rereading One Up …
Every stock price already implies a growth rate. Almost nobody bothers to solve for it.
The current price of any stock already implies the growth rate the business has to deliver to be worth it. You can extract that number with a spreadsheet in about five minutes. Most people never do. This is what a reverse DCF actually is. Not a forecasting tool but an …
Accenture stock dilemma
I have around 900 shares of Accenture and am currently sitting on a significant unrealized loss. I’m unsure how to proceed from here and would appreciate some perspective. For context, I did not purchase these shares directly as an investment. Instead, I accumulated them gradually through my paycheck and employee …
Adobe DCF sensitivity analysis
I won't bore y'all with bull/bear convictions on Adobe. The truth is, nobody can tell the future and I don't have a crystal ball. *But what I do have are a very particular set of skills. Skills I have acquired over a very long career.* Unfortunately they're not as cool …
Greenland Energy (GLND): A Ridiculously Asymmetric Frontier Oil Bet Disguised as a Broken SPAC
Hi guys — I figured I’d post about a very unusual setup that I think the market is currently misunderstanding: Greenland Energy Company (GLND). This is a classic scenario where a stock is heavily discounted due to short-term selling (mostly due to recent shareholder-dilution), but the underlying assets and upcoming …
Leidos (LDOS) is my next value play
I’ve been looking at Leidos (LDOS) and think it might be an interesting value play. Leidos is a government IT / defense / cyber contractor. Not exciting, but the business is tied to DoD, intelligence agencies, civil government, aviation, and health programs. Current snapshot: * Price: **\~$108.67** * Market cap: …
When a high dividend yield and a high value score show up together, is it a real bargain or a trap?
Disclosure: I work at Obermatt, a research firm that ranks stocks relative to peers on metrics like Value, Growth, Safety, and Dividend Yield, sharing this because the overlap here is a good test case for separating real value from value traps. Pulled the European stocks with a perfect Dividend Yield …
What sector do people think actually has good value right now?
Most of the market feels and is expensive right now, but I believe in any market there are always pockets and companies where sentiment is bad enough that value might exist. I am curious where people here are seeing the best risk/reward today. Some areas that seem to come up …
Missed the HON/HONA record date, is buying both separately after June 29th basically the same deal?
Honeywell is separating its Aerospace Technologies division into its own publicly traded company, $HONA (Honeywell Aerospace), with the distribution date set for June 29, 2026. The deal is that for every 2 $HON shares you held as of the June 15th record date, you receive 1 $HONA share while keeping …
Is Warner Music Group undervalued?
Okay, hear me out... Bill Ackman put in a $64 million dollar bid to buy UMG. UMG responded by declining and signalling that they think their being undervalued and opted to buy back their own stock. The major labels in the music space have been decreasing in value since the …