Posts
Too tired of volatility
I'm getting really tired of volatility. My portfolio has been swinging around too much, and I don't think I want to keep chasing high-risk stocks anymore. I'm considering selling everything and moving into a much simpler portfolio. Right now, I'm thinking about going 50/50 into Google and Amazon, then not …
I don’t think ai is a threat to software companies
Ok, I know many of you have been holding software companies and worrying about The AI. Is Ai gonna replace software, what if ai can be improved so much and eventually it can be good enough so that we just let the chatbot to do everything for us. I mean, …
Did I sell NVO early?
I know it's one of the 4 horseman of "value" stocks this sub likes to crap on but I initially bought in believing in the product and for the most part still do, however I sold so I could average down on my SaaS positions that I still hold and …
Is the market rigged?
This may sound silly and like a conspiracy theory, but it’s kinda strange how every time I sell a stock it usually goes up the next day. Like literally no matter how much research I do on a company the moment I buy it it goes down and then stays …
Dot.com Bubble Vs Neural Network Bubble
TL;DR - There will be some winners, but most of these valuations are repeats of the same mistakes investors made during the dot com bubble. Neural Networks are the most significant development in global computing since the internet. The current Shiller P/E ratio is a fair enough indicator for that …
Insurance Comapnies
**Kinsale** It’s not cheap, it may be trading at \~x17 while others are much cheaper, but the company has a growth potential that called my attention. They are doing a fantastic job. **Chubb** Probably one of the best insurance around the world. It’s fairly priced. At the current level I …
One Last Adobe Post | Hidden AI Revenue Growth
As I'm sure you've heard Adobe hasn't performed very well this year. The stock is now trading at an 8 year low after collapsing 50% in the last year alone. Given the historically shit stock movement, one would assume that Adobe's business fundamentals are collapsing and seeing decreasing revenue. Unfortunately …
Quality Compounders on sale: Thoughts on this watchlist?
Hi guys , current market environment is absolutely crazy, with indices being driven almost entirely by the semiconductor rally. As a result, many high quality compounders are currently suffering from valuation compression. I want to avoid the typical "Big Tech" (MSFT, META, AMZN or typical SaaS stocks like Adbe , …
the next value play. Is it NOW, MSFT, CRM, INTU?
# INTU * Highest-quality business relative to current valuation. * Dominant positions in TurboTax, Credit Karma and QuickBooks. * Very high switching costs. * AI likely strengthens rather than disrupts the moat. * Trades well below the premium multiple many investors were willing to pay a few years ago. # …
The Problem with most MAG7 (AMZN, MSFT, META)
The problem with AMZN, MSFT, and META is GOOGL. My averages for these stocks AMZN ($215), MSFT ($360), META ($600), GOOGL ($160). During Amazon's earnings, the cloud earnings growth was 28%, which is very impressive considering how big AWS already is. This is exactly what investors are looking for reacceleration …