Posts
The formula for value investing.
Below is the formula for value investing as well as why this subbreddit is a contrarian investing subreddit and not a value investing subbreddit. Step 1: Do I understand the business? Step 2: If I understand it, then is it predictable? By predictable, I don't mean predicting how much money …
Brightstar Lottery best ever start to a quarter
The mega millions is at $542m The Powerball is at $375m The super enalotto is €187.5m When was the last time the 3 jackpots were all at least this good entering a new quarter? Never. This is the first time in history that all three of these major lotteries have …
Could You Be Fooled by a Ponzi Scheme? You’d Better Believe It - wsj
*(TLDR: why rational people are often easily fooled. See below comments on the Robert Cialdini whom the author references)* Could You Be Fooled by a Ponzi Scheme? You’d Better Believe It - wsj https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/could-you-be-fooled-by-a-ponzi-scheme-youd-better-believe-it-e159c87 Jason Zweig By Jason Zweig June 30, 2026 at 9:55 am ET Fellow investors, If it’s …
I tracked how Buffett's concept of "moat" evolved across 60 years of shareholder letters. He didn't even use the word until 1986
I built a knowledge graph from every Buffett shareholder letter (1965-2024) and every annual meeting transcript, tracking how his key concepts emerged and evolved over time. Here's what I found about "moat", one of his most famous idea: The concept existed for 20+ years before Buffett named it. From 1965-1985, …
The only positive thing about Nike’s earnings today is that it is now 2 quarters of positive US sales and earnings growth that is helping stauch the bad news from China. < end of message >
The only positive thing about Nike’s earnings today is that it is now 2 quarters of positive US sales and earnings growth that is helping stauch the bad news from China. < end of message > The only positive thing about Nike’s earnings today is that it is now 2 …
Beaten-down quality: How do you differentiate a "temporary dip" from structural decline?
Hi guys , i have a special interest in quality compounder and i’ve been refining my watchlist lately, focusing on compounders that are currently out of favor. We all know that if a stock price *only* went up, it would be priced to perfection, leaving no margin of safety for …
Netflix moat rebuttal
After the recent drop in share prices, and a couple of posts in this sub, I feel like people may have a misunderstanding about what makes Netflix special. Or better (I hope): I may be able to offer a differentiated opinion. So one thing people go for first when thinking …
CEG fundamentals and momentum disconnect
Recently, I have been looking at CEG and it seems to have fallen so much that it is really becoming attractive. Revenue growth - around 25% Earning growth - \~23% PE - 22 PEG of around 1-1.1 With every other AI stock skyrocketing, why is this one still struggling to …
Eos Energy is entering a new phase as a business.
I've been spending some time researching Eos Energy recently and what stands out to me isn't the battery technology itself. It's how the business has been evolving over the past couple of years. Eos isn't trying to compete with lithium-ion on every front. Instead, it's focused on long-duration stationary energy …
Centrus Energy (LEU)
Centrus Energy is a company that produces enriched uranium. It is the only company in the US that produces HALEU (Specific type of uranium used for SMRs). It is also the only company doing contracts with US government for HALEU. what’s bull case and what’s the bear case?