Posts
Micron, is it any more cyclical than Nvidia?
Memory is constantly dismissed as cyclical, but why don’t other semis get the same treatment? Micron’s latest earnings were phenomenal, yet the stock barely moved. Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD, TSMC and ASML are all benefiting from the same AI buildout. Yes, memory is cyclical, but so are many parts of semiconductors. …
Eli Lilly, becoming a pharma ETF (similar to Nvidia in tech)
People are increasingly describing Nvidia as almost becoming a “tech ETF” in its own right. The argument is that the enormous cash flows generated by the current AI cycle are being reinvested into acquisitions, new platforms and adjacent technologies, potentially positioning Nvidia to remain dominant long after the present GPU …
First to turnaround, (MCD, NFLX, UBER, NIKE)
McDonald's, Netflix, Uber and Nike. They've all fallen substantially from their all-time highs. Which is most likely to turn around first, and why?
NRG Energy
NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG): the market is discounting a value accretive, debt funded transformation as if the leverage were a solvency problem rather than a scheduled deleveraging. The defining event is the LS Power acquisition, doubling generation capacity to 25.8 GW. A material recent announcement was the first large "bring your …
Thoughts on KO vs PEP
Hello all, During the height of Trump’s liberation day era I made a decent allocation to KO as I thought it better to deploy capital than let it sit idle. However, since all of this money is in a Roth it should also be treated as though i am making …
Shower thoughts
If generally stocks go up, does that mean investors consistently undervalue stocks?
Starting from today as new investor
# To all the experts out there who either have some brk.b and those who have recently bought, if you were starting as a brand new investor today, would you buy brk.b and continue buying for the next 10 , 20 years or would you just go with a world …
Rediscovering Sir John Templeton: watch out for 361 degrees. (HKG:1361)
361 Degrees International Limited (HKG:1361) After Anta and Li Ning, this Chinese sportswear is vying to grow into a global brand and challenge Nike and others. The stock's EV/EBITDA ratio is 2.76, and its EV/FCF ratio is 9.82. Return on equity (ROE) is 13.12% and return on invested capital (ROIC) …
Value of Long Bonds
I'm beginning to notice a lot of fear in the US bond market, and I suspect it might be a good opportunity. Be greedy when others are fearful. I see fear around bonds. Yields are spiking and people are increasingly worried about some kind of bond crisis. I want to …
Judges Scientific is down -70% from ATH. Buy or Wait?
**Judges Scientific** ($JDG) is a serial acquirer from the U.K., and they call themselves a "buy-and-build" group. Acquired subsidiaries are in the scientific instrument sector (think electrophysiology equipment and soil/rock testing systems). David Cicurel founded the business in 2002 and still remains non-executive chairman today with around 9% of shares …