Posts
The Obvious Problems with Heuristics
Summary - Heuristics are helpful yet lacking advice. Since each company has its specific situations, math formulas just do not cut it. You have to adjust numbers for each company.
Warren Buffett says "It’s tough to find values when everybody is preferring gambling." What are retail investors actually supposed to do right now?
During a recent interview, Warren Buffett dropped a line that pretty much sums up how a lot of us have been feeling about the market lately: > He pointed out that when the financial industry makes more money cultivating day-traders, 0DTE options junkies, and speculative thrill-seekers than real long-term investors, …
Sold all RY and TD
My Dividend discount models say they will return less than 6.5% annually so I sold them to buy TSX index ETF, transitioning to smaller stock picking portfolio as I don’t think I can beat the indexes on the long run. Did 3x with RY in 6 years and 2x with …
Why is OXY so cheap?
Looks like it is about a third cheaper than competitors COP and EOG, on EV:EBITDA and Market Cap:Levered Free Cash Flow. Plus, it is a Buffet favorite. Anyone analyzed these names and have a logical answer?
A super cycle market in commodities and a Bull market in index funds cannot co-exist.
That being said, we are in the first quarter of a commodity super cycle, and i am seeing people pouring their life savings into the most heavily weighted stocks within index funds. This time will not be different. The implied return over the next 10 years for index funds will …
Booking Trips/Hotels Industry
When I look at the travel industry, I see a lot of competition and uncertainty for the future. While I have parents that are willing to go to an in person travel agency to book a trip, I realize that this model is effectively extinct (or will be soon). It …
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Should I sell my Southwest Airlines (LUV) shares before their Q2 financial report comes out or hold?
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Fiserv Value play or Value trap?
Fiserv $FISV, a Michael Burry pick, has seen a brutal sell off in the last 18 mths , dropping 75% from its ath of $238 to the current bargain basement price around $50 Does it deserve the sell-off or will it recover? Fiserv is a monster, positioning itself as essential …