Posts
Why look for individual value stocks instead of just buying BRK.B and letting the best do the work?
I'm trying to understand the core philosophy of active value investing versus just outsourcing it to the absolute best in the business. If the goal of value investing is to find undervalued companies with strong moats, why not just buy Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares and leave it in the hands …
Why invest when an ai bubble could burst?
Most people believe that the market is way too high and that an ai bubble will pop and tank the market. Yet people continue to invest. Wouldn’t it be better to invest when it actually drops? Is it a simple matter of we don’t actually know it will happen or …
What settings for DCF analysis do you guys/girl use?
I started out today learning DCF and was asking myself what settings the people of the r/ValueInvesting reddit thought of this.
[Pitch] Kruso Kapital S.p.A. (BIT: KK) – Micro-Cap Pawn Lending Compounder Trading at a 4.5x P/E
# Description Kruso Kapital S.p.A. (BIT: KK) is an Italian company listed on the Milan Stock Exchange that specializes in pawn lending, providing loans secured by pledged assets. It also operates an auction house where it sells pledged items from loans that have not been repaid. This is how this …
Portfolio (I thought I'd dump this and some discussion)
These are what I own, and my thesis. Glad to hear any thoughts. 1. Adobe. Part of the SaaS reverse. I think the whole AI thing hammered it. Bought way too early but holding at this point. 2. Alibaba. Bought just a little on gut. Mostly, I got this because …
Here is my long-term portfolio aimed at beating the market
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The True FCF yield on the S&P 500 is running 2.51% below the 10-year treasury. That negative risk premium has shown up a few times since 1987, and it doesn't portend good things...
Two separate things are happening in the market simultaneously and most analysis treats them as separately. The Macro angle: Warsh is keeping rates flat while NGDP runs hot. Longer rates are already backing up, and that sequence historically ends one of four ways and none of them are comfortable for …
Maximus (MMS): ~10x owner earnings, ~40% below my intrinsic value, and the scare is a temporary $188M receivables delay
I've been digging into Maximus (MMS), a \~$3.3B government-services company trading near the low end of its multi-year valuation range. The market is treating a one-time cash-collection delay as if the earnings power broke. I don't think it did, and I've been buying. **what they do** Maximus runs the unglamorous …