Posts
AI trying to convince me peace time = sector rotation into industrials
I've been thinking about the proposed peace talks, but unless I'm totally out of the loop, I don't see peace happening anytime soon. Plus, if you look at the big picture over the last few years, the S&P 500 has been on an upward trend, so in the long run, …
A good article about the market and the economic situation
Accenture long
looking at accenture - acn - right now, the massive selloff in 2026 has created one of the most heavy market mispricings for a tier 1 tech consulting firm. the stock has dropped down toward 135 to 140 dollars, dragging the market cap down to around 85 billion dollars. if …
14 Investment write-ups to look at
14 write-ups from Substack worth reading, all published within the last week or so. Not my work - sourced from Giles Capital's weekly compilation: [https://gilescapital.substack.com](https://gilescapital.substack.com) # Americas **AlphaSeeker** on [**Alphabet**](https://alphaseeker84.substack.com/p/alphabet-inc-goog-q2-2026-results) (🇺🇸 GOOG US - US$3.9tn) Best quarter in company history: 24% revenue growth, 34% operating margins. Then raised $49.6B equity, …
Historically, a combination of a high P/E ratio and historically high profit margins precede a bear market.
Historically, the combination of a high [P/E ratio](https://www.multpl.com/s-p-500-pe-ratio) and historically[ high profit margins ](https://insight.factset.com/sp-500-reporting-highest-net-profit-margin-in-more-than-15-years-1)has been a highly reliable precursor to bear markets and poor long-term equity returns. When both metrics peak simultaneously, it indicates that stock prices are pricing in flawless future growth exactly at the moment when corporate profitability …
Has anyone looked at Veralto? A mission-critical spin-off from Danaher
Veralto is essentially a global industrial technology company that spinned-off from Danaher. It became an independent, publicly traded company in late 2023. **What they do** The company operates through two main pillars. The first is **Water Quality**, where they provide the precision instruments, chemicals, and software used to test and …
Nike's revenue grew 43% over ten years and its net income fell 17%. I think that one sentence is the whole quality verdict.
Nike keeps appearing on "quality on sale" lists, so I ran it through my research process properly rather than relying on the label I'd filed it under years ago. It failed on quality before I ever got to price. Fiscal 2016 versus fiscal 2026, from Nike's own releases: * Revenue: …
Gambling Stocks
Does anyone know why online gambling stocks across the board having seen a big price increase today. DKNG, Flutter, Evolution AB, Playtech, GAMB and more have seen a +5% day. Searched for any news but nothing is appearing and theres no macro news that I can think of that affects …
FUBO — Pre-Earnings Analysis
The stock is trading at $8.33-8.65. Including Disney’s 70% stake, the look-through enterprise value is roughly $1 billion, while the company generates about $6.2 billion in annual revenue. That values the business at just 0.16 times revenue. At the current valuation, each subscriber is valued at roughly $140. Pay-TV transactions …
5 companies I'll be adding to in 2026
My valuation: perpetuity DCF with margin of safety hurdles and FCF yields. These are the most interesting opportunities I found: **CME - Chicago Mercantile Exchange** Fundamental driver: macro volatility. They sell hedging contracts. Revenues are a toll on risk. Perpetual corporate demand. Moat: impossible to destroy. Liquidity attracts more liquidity, …