Posts
Where do you find stock data?
For many years, I have cross-referenced data from Alphaspread (for the DCF), Dataroma and Stockcircle to track the big whales, Google finance for the general overview, Tranding view for a deeper analysis with indicators and Quiver Quantitative for the congress moves (even if it'S too late with the 45 days …
Brightstar Lottery Q2 results tomorrow - value incoming
If you've seen my previous posts, I've been tracking the jackpot environment for Brightstar Lottery which the company points to when reporting good/bad EPS for each quarter. Q2 was ok for the jackpot environment and Q3 has been good so far, and still on track to be a great quarter …
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Hopefully, you were able to take advantage of the BellRing Brands & Build-A-Bear stock when I first mentioned them. You could have gotten a decent return in a short amount of time. If you think there’s a case for a long term hold in either one of those companies, please …
"The Most Important Thing" Overview | How Howard Marks Beat the Market
A video overview of "The Most Important Thing" by Howard Marks where I go over 10 of his 20 most important things and explain (somewhat) briefly, his investment philosophy behind his market outperformace over some very harsh and volatile decades. Providing aime of my favorite quotes and charts from the …
Earnings lesson: when a company's hottest segment runs through a 50/50 JV, check the noncontrolling interest line
Something in an earnings report this week is a clean example of a pattern worth checking on any company you look at: the consolidated joint venture. Solstice Advanced Materials (the specialty chemicals business Honeywell spun off last year) reported Q2 on Thursday. They beat their own guidance and raised the …
DLO (dLocal): how real is the in-sourcing risk?
Long-time holder trying to stress-test the main bear point. dLocal is a high-quality, asset-light EM payments business — one API for global merchants across \~40 emerging markets. The moat is licensing/compliance breadth, and it looks durable: even Stripe didn’t build Brazilian Pix itself, it partnered with EBANX (a dLocal competitor) …
Situational Unawareness: inside a portfolio's rabbit hole. ( Part 2)
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Is the Cloud business doomed?
We've seen large revenue growth for Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud which have carried the growth and offset the failed ventures of these companies. There's also the Neocloud companies that are building and growing like Coreweave and SpaceX. However there are problems: 1. The cost of maintaining …
Vertiv raised full-year guidance across the board and the stock still dropped double digits. The miss was the top line, not profits. Blip or the first crack?
Vertiv (VRT) is the unglamorous side of the AI buildout. They make the backup power, the power distribution, and the liquid and air cooling that every data center needs to actually run the GPUs. So the thesis kind of writes itself: if hyperscaler capex keeps climbing, Vertiv collects a slice …
[Week 24 - 1988] Discussing A Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letter (Almost) Every Week
**Full Letter:** http://theoraclesclassroom.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/1988-Berkshire-AR.pdf **Letter Only** https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/1987.html This week we will go over Buffett’s thoughts on arbitrage and his experience in the field as well as some of Berkshire’s arbitrage activities. As well as his thoughts on the Efficient Market Theory and how his arbitrage success hurts the theory. Finally some …