Posts
An Under Desired Stock — $SLDE
I'm trying to pour over financial sheets more often, more deeply. I would treasure any feedback here or there that any of you have on this. I know it's not 10 years of data — I really tried to find more out there, but perhaps I'm looking in the wrong …
Before you underwrite NBIS to $800, ask where the power comes from
Every $800 target on Nebius is built the same way. Take booked GPU capacity. Multiply by an assumed utilization and price-per-GPU-hour. Grow it on a hyperscaler curve. Slap a multiple on it. The model is clean. That's the problem. It's clean because it skips the hard part. I'm not calling …
$RDDT is not undervalued. Don't fall for the trap.
**Edit: For those asking for numbers, I have already done a detailed calculation on Reddit's FV months earlier. See link below:** [**https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/comments/1qyltqm/enough\_with\_the\_opinions\_here\_is\_the\_actual\_math/**](https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/comments/1qyltqm/enough_with_the_opinions_here_is_the_actual_math/) **(calculation error here)** [**https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/comments/1qz3twp/correction\_to\_my\_previously\_very\_flawed\_analysis/**](https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/comments/1qz3twp/correction_to_my_previously_very_flawed_analysis/) **(this post corrected the error)** I am seeing a lot of $RDDT bulls in this sub lately. The main bull case for $RDDT is …
The new paradigm - Mega Caps from asset-light to asset-heavy
I've been reflecting on the current AI race and the massive structural shift it's demanding from the largest tech companies (Mega-Caps). Historically, we know is giants (Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, etc.) was their "asset-light" business model. They produced software or digital platforms with incredibly high gross margins and infinite scalability at …
Unpopular opinion: buying companies with $1tn+ valuation is not value investing
Yes, a trillion-dollar company can trade below intrinsic value. Buffett bought AAPL around 10x earnings. Size doesn’t make something expensive. But that’s not where our edge is. A $1tn company has 40 analysts, every fund modeling it, and a million retail eyes on each print. The odds you spot something …
Weekly Stock Ideas Megathread: Week of June 22, 2026
What stocks are on your radar this week? What's undervalued? What's overvalued? This is the place for your quick stock pitches or to ask what everyone else is looking at. *This discussion post is lightly moderated. We suggest checking other users' posting/commenting history before following advice or stock recommendations.* *New …
What are we thinking about FVRR?
Yes it's a declining business, 13 percent decrease in users year over year, about the same in revenue guidance. Not great. ​ But I mean 373m MC against 411m in cash and cash equivalents net of debt, 57m in buybacks authorized. I just love negative valued business (like being paid …
The margins in semiconductors don’t seem sustainable
Micron operating profit margins have expanded to about 50%, and they are forecast to go to something like 70%. The average over recent history has been in the 20-30% range. SK Hynix is already at a 60% operating margin and is also forecast to go towards 70%. Nvidia, which used …
(Super long article) Tide Already Dominates Detergent. Why Is P&G Pushing a New Version? - WSJ
(**TLDR**: the company is betting the farm that this more expensive detergent will do well because it only requires cold water and cleans a bigger load better) (Super long article) Tide Already Dominates Detergent. Why Is P&G Pushing a New Version? - wsj The company controls about 60% of the …
VG - Venture Global, the next AI bottle neck
An examination of EPA emission inventory will reveal widespread increas in natural gas consumption at power plants, specifically in the most recent years. I interpret this as validation of the AI infrastructure play. However, the natural gas demand play seems to be flying under investor's radar. ​ VEnture Global presents …