Posts
Shoe station
Anyone have any thoughts on shoe? I've done some research and it seems like one of the most financially stable value stocks thats oversold that I can find. The previous ceo was rebannering shoe carnival stores as shoe station and spent a bunch of money that hurt earnings along with …
Buy NFLX stock and chill?
Winter approaching People will be trapped indoors this winter looking for something to watch. Meanwhile, Netflix has my boy Bill Ackman coming back into the stock. Subscription growth Netflix will report its year end subscriber count with its Q4 earnings. If Netflix 10 yr averaged 26M subscribers per year, that …
How do you catch stale numbers or unverified claims before publishing?
Question for people who write research or DD notes professionally: before publishing, do you have any way to catch an old number that never got refreshed, a claim you never actually verified, or an assumption quietly invalidated by newer data? Built some scripts to flag this stuff for my own …
Berkshire just flipped from net seller to aggressive buyer and Alphabet is now its #3 stock holding
I was going through Berkshire’s Q2 13F and the change in posture is pretty dramatic. Berkshire bought $23.5B of stocks during the quarter and sold only $3.7B, ending a run of 14 straight quarters as a net seller. Cash also came down to about $364.7B. The biggest move was Alphabet. …
McKesson, what am I missing?
A remarkably low beta of .31, 5 year returns over 300% Compared to Mag 7 and large Canadian Banks, returns head and shoulders above all except Nvidia. Why don't I see the name here more often? PE 23 just a little above S&P. What am I missing?
Why was Netflix down 50% from its all time high 3-4 weeks ago?
I don't really understand it tbh Netflix has a lot of good shows can't be found on youtube or other streaming sites AI will definitely change the game and the platform has a great opportunity to be one of the best companies for TV and movies, whatever that genre will …
TOYO, what am I missing?
**2x trailing earnings, 1x book, 0.4x sales, 2.5x FCF and 1.4x EV/EBITDA after reporting $261M H1 revenue, $45.8M net income and $61.4M operating cash flow. Future 45X credits could be HUGE. Risks: Ethiopia/CBP, Commerce, new tariffs, lower normalized margins, financing a $357M Texas plant and dilution. Those same tariffs could …
The Q2 2026 13F consensus is in — and the smart money completely disagrees on Alphabet
I compiled the Q2 2026 13F filings of 46 well-known value managers (Berkshire, Appaloosa, Himalaya, Baupost, Fundsmith, Oakmark, etc.) to see what they actually did as a group. A few things stood out: \*\*They split hard on Alphabet (GOOGL).\*\* It was the single most divisive stock of the quarter — …
Markel -A lazy doomsday valuation
I was trying to value Markel today , and I found out that it has securities worth 13.5 billion in companies like Berkshire and Google etc . I wanted to value this at 50 percent of its current value (in case of a crash) . And it has a cash …
Are "Fair companies at wounderful prices" the new value traps now?
As Warren Buffet already started: "It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price." You named them: PYPL, TTD, ADBE. These stocks are decent companies with ridiculous low valuations, but still gets punished. I know that wounderful business like …