Posts
OFRM short thesis at $16.77
I think OFRM is still being priced like a clean premium growth story, when the core business looks a lot weaker under the surface. The company’s whole pitch is that it can keep expanding distribution, sell more premium organic baby/kids food, and eventually get operating leverage. The issue is that …
KOPN setup still looks constructive here!
KOPN still looking pretty solid here in my opinion. Holding above VWAP after the breakout and it reclaimed the 5.00 level cleanly. What I like most is that it didn’t instantly dump after hitting 5.22 highs. EMAs are stacked bullish underneath price and RSI is strong but not completely blown …
IPO AVWAP breakout strategy
Sambhv Steel Tubes limited broke out of its IPO AVWAP and all time high AVWAP https://preview.redd.it/pi9vpz9p5xzg1.png?width=1785&format=png&auto=webp&s=1680bfaf9411290383a73dcc9990c17fe3ce3558 trend is already higher high and higher low, let's have a look at 1h chart for entry https://preview.redd.it/sib5oknk6xzg1.png?width=1777&format=png&auto=webp&s=c0d99f2ae8a0f44f52d769480ff7ae3c713d063e I've drawn another avwap from high volume candle, and the price is currently trading at point …
Energy Top 100 Model - XLE in the Mid 50's
Didn't end up pull the trigger on anything yesterday. Going to pull the trigger today. The model is flagging 18 stocks over 50% confidence. Add those today. Add more on Monday Also, the secondary model, All Cap Energy Model has woken up. After cutting down to only a few picks …
Three years into this and I still feel like I'm guessing. When does it actually start to feel like a process?
Been at this since 2023, kept journal, read the books, watch the calls and 80% of my decisions still feel like vibes. Returns are okay, not great, mostly because the market has been kind. For those people who are further along, did you build a real process or just keep …
[Insider Tape] Thursday Analysis: $549M Volume & 3.8:1 Sell Ratio | The $GOLD Hedge & $CAT Distribution
**\[Insider Tape\] Thursday Analysis: $549M Volume & 3.8:1 Sell Ratio | The $GOLD Hedge & $CAT Distribution** **\[The Data\]** * **Total Daily Volume:** $549.4M (Aggregated Form 4 Transaction Values). * **Conviction Ratio:** 172 Sells vs. 45 Buys (\~3.8:1 Ratio). * **Congressional Flow:** 28 Trades ($273K volume). Buy-side skew toward Defensive …
Records pulled back, NFP next, AVGO stops out at -51.5% | DarkFlow EOD recap
Michael Burry letter - He is absolutely right.
Where to anchor your VWAP?
Anchoring VWAP on IPO day is the least subjective method (and the best). Price respects the VWAP line as support/resistance, even after a terrible downtrend. I’ve plotted three AVWAPs: 1) first week high, 2) first week low, and 3) first week OHLC average.