Posts
The Market Will Drop by 17-19% in the next 2 months and here’s 9 reasons why.
Let me preface that I concluded this analysis my morning but never had the chance to post. 1.) So far in 2025, the global equity markets are experiencing unprecedented volatility with the MSCI World Index fluctuating by an average of 12.5% per month (compared to a historical average of 3.8%). …
Tesla Skyrockets Over 22% In A Single Day: Massive dual blast from the ERDF annihilates bears.
Well... It's time for a little self-deprecating humility and humor. Position: I am short on Tesla (still). Yesterday sucked. In two of my previous posts on r/stocks "**Tesla Hidey Hole (Richmond, VA)- Don't believe the numbers tomorrow but the ERDF is real.**" and **"Forbes: "Elon Musk's pet project- the dumpster …
This is a classic short squeeze pattern and I'm surprised no one is talking about it.
It seems that very, very few people are seeing this for what it is: A *market-scale* short squeeze. 1. The market was well on its way to entering bear country, and a lot of short positions are sure to follow, particularly with firms that stand to lose the most with …
Why is the S&P, DOW, and Nasdaq all moving up and down at the exact same time....
I'm honestly trying to understand. I'd assume there would be some variance in different indexes and different movements at different times, but over the last month its almost identical and within the last week is pretty much identical, with blimps up and down all at the same time...... Is it …
Making sense of the market and finding a bottom
There's been a lot of volatility recently and I think it's easy to be on edge. I know I have been checking the news a lot and it has been stressful. I think if we zoom out a bit it will help give us some context. The yield curve resteepened …
Get Rid of the Duds in Your Portfolio
I read an article online . That was the title of the article , " GET RID OF DUDS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO " I'm trying to figure out if its good information or not It says to ---Calculate the size of a company’s net debt, and then divide that figure …
Where the tariff idea supposedly came from (Stephan Miren paper)
The plan aims to shift economic advantages back to the U.S. by making trade partners bear more costs, while reviving domestic industry and securing supply chains. Risks include market volatility and retaliation. Politico article https://www.politico.com/newsletters/morning-money/2025/01/06/why-stephen-miran-thinks-tariffs-can-work-00196532 PDF link https://www.hudsonbaycapital.com/documents/FG/hudsonbay/research/638199_A_Users_Guide_to_Restructuring_the_Global_Trading_System.pdf
EU, China start talks on lifting EU tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, Handelsblatt reports
[https://finance.yahoo.com/news/eu-china-start-talks-lifting-173917473.html](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/eu-china-start-talks-lifting-173917473.html) BERLIN (Reuters) - The European Union and China have begun negotiations on the abolition of EU tariffs on imports of Chinese electric cars, German newspaper Handelsblatt reported on Thursday. EU trade commissioner Maros Sefcovic met China commerce minister Wang Wentao during a visit to Beijing at the end of …
Time for TIPs?
In these volatile times, we must ask ourselves where to park our cash. Money market funds aren't a bad bet, but short rates won't be immune from tariff and dollar depreciation induced inflation. Likewise stocks are well ... an adventure right now. We could look to move into other single …
62 Trillion in assets by foreigners.
All may have been at play, but the burgeoning narrative now is that overseas investors are fleeing American assets at large due to the seemingly chaotic nature of Donald Trump's trade war. With total U.S. investment liabilities to foreign savers standing at more than $62 trillion at the end of …