Posts
Personal outlook Monday, February 8
\[Not investment advice\] Asia Asia is likely to open under pressure as the sell-off of US tech stocks at the end of last week needs to be digested (US sell-off -> semi-complex under pressure -> Asia needs to reprice). Particularly vulnerable: KOSPI, TWSE. TSMC will be volatile (AMZN orders vs. …
Correction to my previously VERY FLAWED analysis on Reddit. My New Reasonable Fair Value For RDDT: $108.
I posted this yesterday. I really effed up and got the ARPU for META wrong. The new reasonable fair value is $108. However, I m leaning in between the Reasonable Very Optimistic Scenario now because I think 65 dollars is tad bit low for 2030. [https://www.reddit.com/r/redditstock/comments/1qylso9/enough\_with\_the\_opinions\_here\_is\_the\_actual\_math/?utm\_source=share&utm\_medium=web3x&utm\_name=web3xcss&utm\_term=1&utm\_content=share\_button](https://www.reddit.com/r/redditstock/comments/1qylso9/enough_with_the_opinions_here_is_the_actual_math/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button) The ARPU assumption should …
Crypto kind of feels like a giant greater fool experiment
I keep coming back to the same thought with crypto: most of the value is just based on the idea that someone else will pay more for it later. That’s basically the definition of the greater fool theory. When you compare it to other assets, the difference is pretty obvious. …
Trump administration equity stakes pose risks to U.S. companies and markets
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/07/trump-equity-stakes-pose-these-risks-to-us-companies-and-markets.html > The Trump administration’s portfolio of equity stakes in U.S. companies has reached a scale that is unprecedented outside economic crisis or wartime. The administration has taken stakes or has agreements to do so with at least 10 companies, most of which are publicly traded. The government announced its …
RDDT - CEO doing short seller job
Anyone else watching RDDT and wondering what the CEO is thinking? Steve Hoffman is selling like crazy like there is no other day. Between the messaging, timing, and overall optics, it feels like management is actively undermining confidence instead of defending shareholder value. Short sellers couldn’t ask for better help. …
Nvidia Price Action
Do you guys see Nvidia as a strong buy at current prices. It’s currently in the same range of 170-190 that it’s been at since July. However, analysts are predicting a price of over 250 by end of year. Do yall think this is truly realistic? What are some catylsts …
r/Stocks Weekly Thread on Meme Stocks Saturday - Feb 07, 2026
The meme stock scheduled posts will now run weekly and post Saturday afternoon and won't be a sticky; you're probably seeing this because automod sent you here! [Full list of meme stocks here.](https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/wiki/meme-stocks) This will be updated every once in a while. ------ Welcome traders who just can't help them …
Amazon betting $200B on AI - stock drops 9%. Overreaction?
Wall Street nervous about 'unclear ROI' on Amazon's AI infrastructure bet. What they're building: - Custom AI chips (Trainium, Inferentia) - Massive data center expansion - AI-native AWS services AWS had 'unclear ROI' in 2006 too. Is this an overreaction or legitimate concern?
Reddit has caught up to Google's Q4 run-rate P/E ratio.
Reddit (RDDT) Valuation Reset: 2024 vs. 2025 "Profits tripled while the valuation multiplier dropped by 5x." 1. Period: Q4 2024 (Reported Feb 2025) Stock Price: $214 Quarterly EPS: $0.36 Annualized EPS (Run-rate): $1.44 ($0.36 × 4) Run-rate PER: 148.6x 2. Period: Q4 2025 (Reported Feb 2026) Stock Price: $140 Quarterly …
Probabality of Netflix and WBD merger going through?
* Nvidia–Arm (abandoned): Scrapped after U.S., UK, and EU enforcers argued Nvidia could use control of Arm’s neutral chip IP to disadvantage rival chipmakers and harm innovation. * Penguin Random House–Simon & Schuster (blocked): U.S. DOJ convinced a court the deal would give the combined publisher monopsony power over authors, …