Posts
How is my portfolio.
My portfolio has remained more or less the same since this time last year. I am cash heavy because I am currently between jobs and because the market scares the hell out of me these days. I also went heavy into Gold and International stocks when Trump started dicking around …
Target Q4 earnings call in 20 minutes. A few things stand out from this morning's press release.
No position in TGT. Target earnings call starts in about 20 minutes. Press release dropped this morning and a few things stand out before Fiddelke speaks. Comparable sales down 2.5% in Q4. Down 2.6% for the full year. Store traffic down 2.9%. Apparel down. Home down. The discretionary categories that …
SPY vs VOO long term
If I already own a sizable position in SPY, but I’m simply a long term holder, should I just keep buying SPY? I understand VOO is slightly better on expense ratio and tax stuff. But idk if I want to hold both SPY and VOO at the same time. Or …
China just mass released 10+ frontier AI models in 2 weeks and Western markets barely noticed
China's tech giants and AI startups dropped a coordinated wave of frontier models during Chinese New Year. Alibaba, Baidu, ByteDance, Tencent, plus startups like Moonshot AI and MiniMax all released major updates within days of each other. The scale is wild. Baidu's ERNIE 5.0 hits 2.4 trillion parameters. Moonshot's Kimi …
Anyone else feel like the “obvious” defense/energy trade is already crowded… so what’s the next layer?
Markets reprice the headlines first!! The second a conflict escalates, everyone (including algos) speed-runs the most obvious plays: * big defense primes (you know the usual suspects) * oil/gas/energy spike narratives * “safe-ish” stuff people rotate into when volatility pops I’m looking at charts and it’s like: **a lot of …
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Mar 03, 2026
This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on technical analysis (TA), but if TA is not your thing then just ignore the theme. Some helpful day to day links, including news: * [Finviz](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=spy) for charts, fundamentals, and aggregated news on …
Reddit Stock Analysis
Can someone share an unbiased, numbers-driven opinion on Reddit stock? If possible, please outline your bear, base, and bull cases, including assumptions around future revenue, net income, valuation multiples (P/E, etc.), and how those translate into a potential stock price. A 3-year price target (through the end of 2028) would …
there r hidden risks in 10-K reports, i built a Forensic Auditor GPT prompt to avoid all traps!!
have seen people dropping 10-Q or 10-K pdfs into chatgpt or deepseek and asking those LLMs to "summarize this." that is not really working. It literally just spits back the CEO's PR spin from the opening remarks. LOL! If we want to actually find the hidden garbage in an earnings …
Oil Futures Potential
With increasing instability in the Middle East, global oil supply risk is rising at a time when demand remains relatively strong. Historically, geopolitical disruptions in major producing regions have tightened supply and supported higher crude prices. The U.S. appears well-positioned in this environment. Domestic production remains near record levels, and …
Iran and the Stock Market: 3 Likely Scenarios and 1 Unlikely Scenario
From a stock and markets perspective, here are 3 of the most likely scenarios (and 1 very unlikely scenario) **1) Iran Waves the White Flag (20% probability)** With Khomeini gone Iran's new leadership (hopefully friendly) sues for peace. Conflict is done in 3-7 business days. Markets and oil return to …