Posts
Taiwan/TSMC takeover impact to equities
I keep hearing that the US has lost its deterrence and superiority against China and that Xi is looking to take over Taiwan especially after seeing US-Iran war. How much would this impact stocks and index funds like VT? I have a big (to me) chunk of cash I want …
CNBC: Traders now see next Fed interest rate move as a hike following inflation surge
Traders are suddenly pricing in a possible rate hike at the next Fed meeting after the inflation print, which is a pretty sharp flip from the “rate cuts soon” narrative just a short time ago (CNBC: [https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/15/traders-now-see-next-fed-interest-rate-move-as-a-hike-following-inflation-surge.html](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/15/traders-now-see-next-fed-interest-rate-move-as-a-hike-following-inflation-surge.html)). NASDAQ was down almost 2% at the lows and then just slowly clawed …
No deal until markets drop.
Ghalibaf is making it clear on his X that he's watching US News cycle on markets. Markets being up = he has more leverage. Markets going up into midterms = big leverage. He knows Trump has no good options so he can extend the pain. There won't be a deal …
Ran GOOG through my X-RAY tool 47/100...
Ran GOOG through a personal scoring tool I built (6 weighted signals, end-of-day data). ended up at 47/100, which lands in HOLD. the stuff that looks expensive: \- P/I of 2.5x. that's in the top 10% of its own history (median is 2.0). \- Monthly RSI at 76.7. over 70 …
3rd party review of RDDT data shows Very high monetization upside :
This is from a publication that reviews data from marketing channels : Reddit highlights rising opportunities for CPG marketers 2026-05-15 00:53:33 GMT Andrew Hutchinson (Social Media Today) Reddit published a new report that examines how CPG brands can reach target audiences with Reddit promotions. This comes as more people visit …
Long-term passive index investors heavily disrupt and break the traditional playbooks used by value investors and market bears.
By systematically buying stocks regardless of their price or fundamentals, index funds create artificial structural forces that keep overvalued stocks expensive and punish anyone trying to short the market. This massive wave of passive capital "messes up" their strategies through several key mechanisms: 1. Breaking Valuations (The "Blind Buying" Engine) …
When do you take profits?
Just wondering what are other people’s criteria for when to take profits after a stock has maybe gone up? Indeed if a stock is going up a lot then holding may or may not be a good idea, however sometimes you might want to use the profits for something, so …
Is this the beginning of the End? All indices across the world go negative - All at Once.
Take a look at CNBC's headline tickers: everywhere, all at once, red, red, red. All indices across Europe and Asia. All metals. All cryptocurrencies. The 2 Green rows: Bonds and Energy, even the bloody Japanese 10 YR. Dow crossing 50k, SPY 750 - fine, business as usual. One headline: US …
$20k in SMH - thinking of selling the ATH and going all-in on MU or NVDA before earnings?
I’ve been holding $20k in SMH for a while and it’s been a great run, but sitting at these all-time highs has me thinking about concentrating. With Nvidia earnings coming up on Wednesday, I’m tempted to sell the ETF and just move into a single name. I’m mostly looking at …
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday May 15, 2026
This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on fundamentals, but if fundamentals aren't your thing then just ignore the theme. Some helpful day to day links, including news: * [Finviz](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=spy) for charts, fundamentals, and aggregated news on individual stocks * …