Posts
noticed 20 genomics/sequencing stocks all breaking out the same week. can't tell if it's a real rotation or I'm just pattern-matching noise
So I run a screen across 2800 nasdaq names, returns over a few horizons, distance from 52w highs, relative volume, dispersion, that kind of stuff. mostly to keep myself honest on the macro instead of trading off headlines. been doing it daily for a while now. this week one thing …
Kevin Warsh will cut rates this year. IMO and here is why:
Kevin Warsh WILL cut rates this year. He was selected to do just that. Keeping rates steady and hawkish outlook is all smoke and mirrors so it doesn't look like Kevin Warsh is on the Trump take.. trust me he is. And I am 100% certain they will find a …
Korean markets triggered 2 circuit breakers this week, 1 after incredible MU earnings. Is this cause for concern?
Korean market volatility seems to have hit extreme levels this week. Markets first triggered circuit breakers on Monday night and then again Thursday night. The 2nd trigger was a bit surprising considering micron just delivered a massive earnings beat. Experiencing 2 breakers in a week is already unusual. Triggering the …
Why shouldn't individual stocks make up most of my portfolio if the goal is to accumulate wealth?
Disclaimer: I've only been investing for about 3 years so perhaps there's something obvious I'm missing here. Outside of WSB, the notion that one could pick stocks is mostly frowned upon. Most of the advice I've seen is that 80% of the portfolio should be broad market ETFs, with the …
Meta is reportedly building a play-money prediction market app
Prediction markets have been around for a while, but I think most people still don’t really understand them until they try one. The reports about Meta’s Arena app are interesting because it sounds like it would start with points instead of real money. If that’s true, it could make the …
Micron's print was the real test of the AI-memory selloff, and the China read-through isn't what people think
The whole memory complex got torched this week, KOSPI down about 10% with a circuit breaker on Tuesday, Samsung and SK Hynix both off around 12%, Nasdaq -2.21%. All of it was really a bet on one number: whether AI hardware spending is peaking. Micron, up roughly 325% YTD into …
Tokens commodifying *increases* not decreases demand for inference and *increases* revenue for AI chip makers
When tokens become more like commodities and most workflows can be sufficiently done with 10x cheaper open source models instead of the latest frontier model.... or when enterprises are okay with using a 10x cheaper open source model and post training it with their company specific context instead of paying …
Bought google at $390 and it's been sitting at $335 for what feels like forever, is this just a me thing
Not sure what i was thinking honestly. bought some shares back when it was pumping and felt like it was going somewhere. now it just sits there. checked it this morning, still 335. checked it last week, 335. it's like it's mocking me i know google isn't going bankrupt or …
South Korea markets triggered a 2nd circuit breaker this week. Is this cause for concern?
Korean market volatility seems to have hit extreme levels this week. Markets first triggered circuit breakers on Monday night and then again Thursday night. The 2nd trigger was a bit surprising considering micron just delivered a massive earnings beat. Experiencing 2 breakers in a week is already unusual. Triggering the …
oil market massively oversupplied - time to buy tech stocks
|Market needs just 12mb/d|June 2026|July 2026| |:-|:-|:-| || |||| |||| |||| |||| |||| |EW Pipeline|2.0|2.0| |Russia + Iran Oil on Water|1.5|1.0| |China Import Reduction|4.0|5.0| |UAE Fujairah Pipeline|2.0|2.0| |Iran Crude Exports|3.5|4.0| |Extra production (UAE, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi, Qatar)|3.5|4.0| |Rest of World SPR Release|1.0|1.0| |US SPR Release|3.0|2.5| |Production Cuts outside Arab Gulf …