Posts
The Upcoming Macro Triggers updates in June might start the great AI Hype fall
# Upcoming Macro Triggers (The "News" Dates) If you are watching for a catalyst that could spark a market-wide correction, June is the absolute danger zone. Mark these two dates on your calendar: * **June 10, 2026 (8:30 a.m. ET):** The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price …
Spacex IPO Overpriced?
Could Spacex be the most overhyped company of all time? Even more overhyped than Tesla? Could it be possible one of the worst IPO’s of all time in terms of what the financials actually are and what its valuation is going public at? They lost over $1 Billion last quarter… …
Samsung chip workers will get an average $340,000 bonus as AI profits soar
Samsung Electronics will distribute about 40 trillion won ($26.6 billion) in bonuses to chip division employees this year after striking a tentative agreement with its labor union, according to Bloomberg. Using the proposed terms and analyst projections for 2026 operating profit, Bloomberg calculated the average payout at 513 million won, …
What do we think SpaceX will actually IPO at?
The predicted listing price right now would be around $1.7T, but if we go by the Cerebras IPO (which almost doubled by the time of listing) then I wouldn’t be surprised if this opens much much higher than $1.7T. If this somehow doubles in market cap before the listing then …
Two macro scenarios, which do you think will happen?
I like to view asset allocation through forecasting macro themes. Right now I see two future scenarios and wanted to know your thoughts. **Scenario 1: Fiscal Trap** Inflation stays sticky at 5-8%. The Fed wants to hike but can't because debt/GDP just hit 100% and interest payments are already $1T/yr …
Saving Millions and Making Millions, now more than ever
TL;DR DRTS is a company with true (proven!) life saving potential, and as can be seen by the recent increase in volume and SP, the results are starting to get recognition, and this week they are expected to announce the most exciting data yet. DRTS has discovered how to deliver …
No deal Hormuz. Sorry chip bulls.
Netanyahu is getting really excited over another reason to bomb a middle east country or flatten a hospital. Trump too. They can't wait to sabre rattle. Khameini says no deal, tightens grip on uranium and Hormuz strait. Oil to $150/bbl maybe. Chips CONTINUE to be overvalued heavily as musk rushes …
A behavioral read on why capital keeps flowing into Tech while the physical world breaks down
I've been mapping out the underlying psychology of this tape, specifically looking at the commodity-like topping pattern we need: a high enough high and a drop low enough that NQ can't climb back up. We might still go higher first. Right now the market appears to be functioning as the …
Funds like VT that don't have the typical index problems
I'm aware true index funds have a few issues as a result of buying stocks automatically once they go up since market cap increases, and then selling them after they go down, to effectively do a poor job timing the market. I saw that some researchers pegged the cost of …
MAG7 is outperforming all the hype stocks posted about constantly, why do people not learn, holds true for last 40+ years
Mag7 is lazy, I get it, also to be safe, indexes are better of course There is a very weird dynamic specific to Reddit, an all VOO/VXUS portfolio, OK A bunch of barely profitable companies with 0 moats, also OK Is everyone forgetting, as per back tests all the way …