Posts
Collapse of AI-related stocks
Be honest: How many of you still believe we're not in an AI bubble that's already started to burst? I'm convinced that a majority of investors are already worried about a repeat of the dot-com crash, which took more than 15 years for the market to fully recover from. The …
Meta Platforms conservative fair value is ~$810/share (feedback welcome)
Would appreciate pushback on the assumptions below. I'm currently landing at fair value of \~$810/share vs. \~$640/share. For context - META is one of my largest positions in my portfolio (\~$3mm notional - check my post history). Link to my model in Google Sheets: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dlt-9YaB1uV3RF4jz6snuS2GCahCeZPJHuCKcCUIm10/edit?gid=1127915579#gid=1127915579](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dlt-9YaB1uV3RF4jz6snuS2GCahCeZPJHuCKcCUIm10/edit?gid=1127915579#gid=1127915579) * Assuming revenue grows 20% …
CXMT priced an $8.5B IPO at 308x ahead of July 27 debut, days after its sector rose 8.41% and gave it back
I spent the morning of July 14, 2026 reading the pricing release for what is now the largest Chinese semiconductor listing ever. The company priced at 8.66 yuan per share, roughly 308.9 times trailing earnings. The base deal is 6.688 billion shares raising 57.9 billion yuan, about $8.5 billion at …