Posts
Fed Preferred Gauge Hits 3.0% in August, Below Estimates
August's core PCE print just came in at 3.0% year-over-year, completely undercutting the 3.3% consensus estimate and shifting the entire macroeconomic landscape for equities. Because this is the exact metric the Fed benchmarks for its 2% target, a 0.2% month-over-month pace proves that core services inflation is finally normalizing without …
Only 1 of the 10 biggest US companies earns more than the 30-year Treasury pays
The 30-year touched 5.62% this week, the highest since 2002, and closed Tuesday at 5.59%. Forward earnings yield (1 / forward P/E) for the 10 biggest US companies: \- Micron 13.9% \- Nvidia 5.3% \- Broadcom 4.9% \- Meta 4.4% \- Berkshire 4.4% \- Alphabet 3.9% \- Microsoft 3.9% \- …
r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Sep 30, 2026
These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday including during our themed posts. Some helpful links: * [Finviz](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=spy) for charts, fundamentals, and aggregated news on individual stocks * [Bloomberg market news](https://www.bloomberg.com/markets) * [StreetInsider](https://www.streetinsider.com) news * [Market Check](https://www.streetinsider.com/Market+Check) \- Possibly why the market is doing what it's doing including sudden spikes/dips …
Question on different countries’ capital gains tax
Sorry if my question is silly but genuinely why wouldn’t rich people in the US become citizens in cities like SG and HK for tax purposes if these cities have 0% capital gains tax. I recently learned that if I become a US citizen I’ll have to pay 15% on …
I still don't fully grasp share buybacks and the intrinsic purpose of owning stock.
Okay. So I've been active in monitoring the stock market and learning about investing on and off for about the past 6 years. But while I was pondering, I got stuck on the actual benefit of being a shareholder in the first place. Yes I know owning stock means you …
Awaiting The PCE Report: 3.7% Sticky Inflation & A Data Twist
The Federal Reserve's favorite inflation gauge drops tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM ET, and the options market is already pricing in a massive volatility spike. Wall Street consensus is locked at a stubborn 3.7% year-over-year baseline, a punishingly sticky number that validates the hawkish rhetoric we heard from Fed officials …
Most “value investors” have no idea what they’re talking about
I always see “value investors” talk about some declining company is “undervalued” and “will go up in the long run” because it’s a big company and the P/E ratio is low (McDonald’s, Nike, Netflix, etc.) like they’ve uncovered some hidden gem. However, nobody ever asks why that company has such …
Anthropic IPO leak is insane
Anthropic's leaked IPO filing shows $4.6B of 2025 revenue, a $42B net loss, Q2 2026 revenue of $11.5B, $518B of planned computing spend, and a target valuation near $2T. Anthropic is literally projecting a **-3.9:1 evaluation to profit ratio** and a **174:1 evaluation to revenue ratio** and then asking for …
CoreWeave (CRWV) credit breakdown: $51.4B in debt and leases, 15% yields, and the circular Nvidia backstop
I spent some time looking into Barclays credit research and UBS initiation files on CoreWeave (CRWV). Beyond the headline capacity expansions, the debt mechanics and hardware depreciation profile look structurally fragile. A few balance sheet data points worth tracking: 1. $51.4B in Total Commitments The liability structure consists of $35.1B …
FICO Shares Drop 17% Premarket After TransUnion Extends VantageScore 4.0 Mortgage Pricing
TransUnion’s decision to extend the mortgage pricing for VantageScore 4.0 through the end of 2028 marks a strategic effort to bolster competition against FICO’s entrenched position in the mortgage credit scoring arena. VantageScore 4.0 will continue to be priced at $0.99 per mortgage origination score when ordered separately and remains …