Posts
Time to Make Some Bearish Bets...
Last October, when the market was racing higher, I published a piece called “Are We on a Ticking Time Bomb?” where I laid out exactly where I thought the market would top. At the time, the major indexes were ripping and everybody was all-in. Some of you agreed with me, …
Anyone trade options almost exclusively with ETFs?
I'm not a day trader or even a closely approaching that level of dedication because of my day job. ETF's provide a great way to filter out the noise. I may not get the max benefits, for example from LEAP calls, on individual stocks, but some well managed and defined …
Lesson for anyone wanting to jump in to options
I just bought my first two contracts roughly two weeks ago and honestly I am disappointed in how I handled it. For context I have been a data analyst for 6 years and am starting my masters in data science this August. Like many of you I saw the insane …
Free tool to catch the 'someone knows something' flow before the move
There's been a ton of insider trading in the market. Made some posts recently about the ones I've caught, The [flow before eBays acquisition news](https://www.reddit.com/r/options/comments/1t2x7le/tell_me_this_ebay_flow_isnt_criminal/) \- [insider trading on meta](https://www.reddit.com/r/TheRaceTo10Million/comments/1sg30y0/someone_turned_46k_into_4m_with_0dte_meta_calls/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button) **-**[ reddit flow before earnings](https://www.reddit.com/r/TheRaceTo10Million/comments/1t04flu/tailing_these_insider_rddt_sweeps/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button)**.** I realized there's a pattern to these types of trades and decided to make the …
I followed unusual option flow signals for all of April. Here are the actual trades, wins and losses
For the past two months I have been tracking institutional options flow and actually trading the setups it generates. Not paper trading. Real entries with real size. April is now fully closed out so I can share the complete picture. The idea behind flow-following is simple: when institutions buy large …
Section 1256 contracts, straddle rules, deferred losses for tax purposes
I had some strange calculations happen on my 1099-B where losses and gains were not adding up. I had come to figure out I may have been subject to section 1092 and section 1256 straddle rules whereby a loss may be deferred. I had consulted an AI (ChatGPT) and I …
Anyone sell call spreads against Zebra’s or hedged synthetics?
I see what they’re doing on the Yieldmax..etf’s No protection if the stock gets crushed .. not that impressed .. So I was thinking buy 2 .80 delta and sell 1 .50 delta and buy a shorter term .55 delta / a strike down to hedge and sell some OTM …
Tell me this EBAY flow isn't criminal
A single strike, the 5/15 $106c's were being swept constantly. They're OTM and short dated. The stock wasn't budging as IV and contract price doubled. The earnings were already out so it wasn't like someone was gambling on earnings. Then AH we get the GameStop/eBay acquisition headline and the stock …
Unusual whales
Anyone use unusual whale flow for option trading? Just looking for a platform to work with.
Historical 1 minute option chain for BTC/ETH ask
Hey all! Huge ask if any of you have > 1mo of full option chain data for BTC or ETH - I'd appreciate sharing. I am making a promising quantitative research and the price of historical data for example on Tardis is killing me, I cannot afford it. Cheers!