Posts
ONDS $9 Call for January 2027. down 50% should I sell soon if its more than 50%?
I thought I was being responsible buying leaps with a greater than 0.8 Delta. Probably should have picked a company that wasn't up 20% in a week
Good opportunity to observe MM mechanics clearly.
There are always questions about what role options MMs play when it comes to stock price action especially when nearing options expiration. It is very hard to tease out and MM hedging is complicated. There is also a question of total volume vs options volume etc, hedging in underlying vs …
SPCX day one volatility surface is gorgeous
Look at this: SpaceX options, day one, pure backwardation, front-month IV north of 100%, curve sloping into next year. Now read the 424B4 - the lockup isn't a December cliff, it's staggered: 20% after Q2 earnings in August, then 7% tranches every few weeks, then 28% in a single shot …
AMC gamma flip at 1.50 — the trapdoor everyone forgets
Nerdy AMC read. Spot 2.34. Gamma Flip 1.50. Call Wall 2.5. Put Wall 2.0. As long as we hold above 1.50, dealers are long gamma and AMC behaves like a normal stock — chop, drift, OPEX pin. Lose 1.50 and we're in negative-gamma territory where every news headline gets amplified …
INTC Sitting At Elevated 91% IV Ahead Of FOMC & OpEx: Reading Dealer GEX Structure
INTC At 91% IV Into FOMC — Dealer Map Or BustLook at this Intel vol chart. HV 82.6, IV 91, IV Rank 88, Pctl 98 — basically every gauge is flashing 'expensive and twitchy.' Stock's red 2.46% on the day heading into a FOMC meeting and a monthly opex Friday, …
Day Trade for living
Just got laid off from Job last week never expected I would get into this situation. Have a 7month Baby. Looking to see if I can start day trade or swing trade to make 2k a month atleast for my rent and baby food until I get some job.
Built a covered call backtesting tool - looking for beta testers
I’ve been building a covered call backtesting tool to compare how different covered call rules would have performed historically on individual tickers. Instead of only looking at today’s option chain, I wanted to see how different combinations of tenor and strike actually behaved over time. For a given ticker, the …
Backtest of 32 FOMC days: buying SPX options into the 2pm decision lost money on average
The naive Fed-day options play is to buy a straddle, or a directional call/put, because the 2pm decision is going to move the market. I backtested that idea across 32 FOMC days (June 2022 to April 2026, SPX 0DTE) and it loses money pretty consistently. Posting it because the reason …
META Week: HV>IV, FOMC & OpEx Loom – Let GEX Set Your Direction
META at 592, but I'm watching the IV not the tapeOk so this isn't even the GEX page, this is the Volatility Analysis tab on moomoo for META — IV at 36.18%, HV at 40.29%, IV Rank 42, IV Pctl 51%. Realized is running hotter than implied, which is the …
SPCX Options Trading Strategy
SPCX options are expected this week. I am sitting on the sidelines until I gain a better understanding of how professional traders would play this until the fundamentals catch up. For those expecting multiple compression over the next 6 months, would you favor long puts, bear put spreads, or call …