Posts
MU call $1100, bought at round 1000, exp sept 18
Genuinely looking for a suggestion on what to do with this one Am I cooked chat?
MSFT Bear Call Spread, 96% PoP but risking 10x the credit — sanity check?
Hey everyone, I've been looking at MSFT and found what looks like a solid setup a Bear Call Spread. Before I open the position, I wanted a second opinion: could someone check if the algorithm missed anything, or if there's a risk I'm not seeing? The 96% probability is tempting, …
Options Overlay Strategy Using Cash Settled Options
Figured I’d share because I’ve been doing the same strategy for a few years and it has been rewarding. I used to be of the mindset that tinkering beyond buy and hold will usually cause you to underperform the market but the works well for me. The overlay has been …
ASML, TSM, and NFLX Earnings
Hey Everyone! I’m wondering how you all are playing the earnings this week for ASML, TSM, and NFLX. I’m on the fence about NFLX as it could go either way. I’m confident that ASML and TSM are going to exceed the expectations. I’m still learnings options. Been doing well so …
ASTS 170% ROI Covered Call strategy
ASTS sitting in a great position for strong bounce despite competition from SPCX. Analysts are quietly watching SPCX and adding up these costs and realizing that with perfect execution it could be 10 years before the profits start to come in. Staggering costs could easily outweigh the lofty business plans. …
SPY Levels and Options
SPY levels are imported for options buyers because they define where premium is likely to expand or collapse fast: **Entry/strike selection** * Knowing a key level lets you pick strikes near support/resistance where a bounce or rejection gives you a clean directional move, rather than buying calls/puts that need a …
1/0 dte options on QQQ and MU
Edit day 1: QQQ dropped 2% with big gap down. Unrealized loss $1,500. Short calls went to $0. Sold 4 short calls at opening and closed within 1 hour for $300. Closed 720 put for $500 loss which basically wipped out all short call gains. Rolled 717 out 1 day …
Letting BWBs or Calendars go to expiration? Anyone let them until last day?
I trade a strategies based on SPX Broken Wing Butterflies (80 to100 DTE), usually known as SPX Best and SPY calendar spreads (80 and 140 DTE) known as SPY Ride Trade. According to strategy rules, it says to close before expiration due to increased Gamma in the final week. It …
Speculators Have Cut Their S&P 500 Short Position to a One Year Low.
Something in the CFTC positioning data stood out this week and I wanted to lay it out with the numbers, because it cuts against how the record close reads at a glance. Large speculators (the "non-commercial" bucket in the Commitments of Traders report) spent June closing out their S&P 500 …
Psychological effects of Income Oriented Investing
One of the biggest drawbacks of income / dividend oriented investing is that during the accumulation phase, the concentration on growth usually tends to result in better investment ROI CAGR, especially taking into account the lack of taxation drag. Over the long-term, the differences can definitely be substantial. However, one …