Posts
At what point do the derivatives go nuclear?
Thinking back to 2008, there was a lot of talk about the impact from derivatives that were created on top of existing investments. If I understand it correctly, they amplified the market collapse by spreading and amplifying the damage due to leverage. Is there is still a vast derivatives market …
Buy ETF now for the first time?
Is now a decent time to buy my first ETF (SCHD)? I know the market is in chaos. Im 26, and not in the market currently. I know it is very low compared to a month ago. But if I have some spare money, and am willing to put some …
Inverse ETF for short term only?
I've invested a bit in a reverse ETF this week. Doing some reading and sources suggest that because these ETFs are rebalanced daily, they erode in value and are really for short term investing only (ie a day). If I believe the market will continue falling all week, what would …
Best Way to Switch from SPY to VOO?
Getting a few SPY CSPs assigned during this craziness. What's the best way for taxes to switch to VOO? Will vanguard automatically recognize this as a wash sale and deal with the taxes on gains / losses in the future? Only worried about Federal capital gains taxes and sold spy …
Sitting on top of the world (cash guys)
**Warren Buffett has been taking profits and accumulating cash for sometime now, I believe he is sitting on a record amount of cash. Reddit folks be all:** *"Warren Buffet must know something!!"* *"Warren Buffett is the smartest investor evar!"* *"Warren Buffett knowns what he's doing!!!"* **Reddit investor who locked in …
Pure state-level incompetence
For everyone who said this was just an artificially inflated bubble: this isn’t about a market bubble — this is about institutional failure on a national scale. Look at what happened right after Liberation Day — U.S. Treasury yields exploded upward, and not because of growth optimism. It’s a sign …
Is China unloading its US bonds holding?
The huge drop doesn't look like Investors selling to raise liquidity. Possible explanation: China is dumping because it expects the US to renege on its debt (by, say, declaring US treasuries a strategic asset). Not that the great dealmaker ever had any problem walking away from his obligations. Either way, …
China announces 84% retaliatory tariffs on US goods
[https://edition.cnn.com/2025/04/09/business/china-us-tariffs-retaliation-hnk-intl/index.html](https://edition.cnn.com/2025/04/09/business/china-us-tariffs-retaliation-hnk-intl/index.html) Hong KongCNN — China unveiled retaliatory tariffs of 84% on imports of US goods on Wednesday, further inflaming a trade war between the world’s two biggest economies. The announcement means China has increased its intended levy on US imports by another 50 percentage points from the initial amount that …
US Steel share prices seem to be soaring since Trump has announced the new review of Nippon Steel but equally things take turns quickly nowadays
It feels like such a risky time to be investing in anything new. That said, from a lot of what I’ve read, it seems like Nippon and U.S. Steel might actually be moving toward a deal, which could turn out to be a smart investment opportunity if it goes through. …
China's foreign reserves are in excess of US$ 3 trillion, over half in US dollars. What happens if they start dumping them?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreign-exchange_reserves_of_China https://tradingeconomics.com/china/foreign-exchange-reserves Obviously the US$ crashes but that would effectively have the same result as tariffs - much higher prices for US imports. Could China weather it and what would they gain from it? With the foreign reserves they have and the ability to ignore an unhappy population, it's survivable. …