Posts
Simple way to beat the market by 2X (18.53% Annualy)
I backtested a strategy where I just buy the #1 largest company by market cap and rotate everything into the new #1 the second it gets dethroned. from Jan 1980 to June 2026. The results are actually insane. $10k Investment since 1980: |**Strategy**|**Final Value**|**Avg Annual Return**|**Total Multiple**| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |**S&P 500**|**$694,900**|\~9.3%|69.49x| …
Why does not paying off a mortgage and investing instead makes sense when the quantity is vastly different?
What don't understand is, let's say have a 500k mortgage at 3%. That's a low enough rate that everybody says invest your extra money into the market to make 10%, instead of your mortgage. I understand how, if you had 500k lump sum to put into the market then it …
Why RADR Could Be Lantern Pharma's Most Undervalued Asset
Most people look at Lantern Pharma ($LTRN) and see a small biotech with a few oncology programs. What they often miss is RADR. RADR isn't a chatbot. It's an AI-driven oncology platform designed to identify which patients are most likely to respond to specific therapies by analyzing billions of data …
Need feedback/thoughts by industry veterans - who've been in market long
The AI Capex Cycle and the Discipline of Uncertainty - linked in comments I originally wrote this piece as a way to collect and piece together arguments on both sides of the AI capex debate - many of which I’ve been reading and thinking about over the past few months. …
Is there a tool that alerts you when ANY company announces a deal in a specific sector?
I track a lot of individual companies, but I keep running into the same problem: I find out about major deals and announcements days after they happen, usually from a news article referencing something that was filed or announced earlier. For example, I missed a few big AI infrastructure contracts …
Fixed income strategy in early retirement
I retired a few months ago with liquid assets that will bridge me until my annuity income and social security kick in three years from now. The rest of my money is in an IRA, that I had in 65% VT/12% BND/10% VTIP/8% TIPS ETF ladder/5% SGOV. I won't be …
Is AVLV a good satellite holding to hedge against heavy tech concentration in an S&P 500 portfolio?
For investors using a robo-advisor like Betterment that concentrates roughly two-thirds of a portfolio into the S&P 500 (with the rest in international, mid/small cap, and bonds), does adding a 5% to 8% tilt into a large-cap value fund like AVLV make sense? The goal would be a modern value …
Oil down 6%, the 30-year fell, and the real yield wouldn't move. Someone tell me what I'm missing.
Oil's down 6% on the Iran peace, the nominal 30-year fell almost a full percent today, and the real yield wouldn't come down with either of them. DFII30 (or TIP actually tradeable) sat at 2.73, right at the top of its range. Peace drains inflation expectations and that should pull …
Question for Group, Appreciate any feedback provided!
I am a recently retired 65year old. Below I've listed out my current IRA AA below and would like to ask for feedback. I realize I'm being overly conservative here, but as a retail investor facing this volatile market going into Retirement seems really daunting. For this IRA I just …
vanerk space accumulation etf jedg
hi all i bought this etf in my stocks isa as a speculative bet £13k total but bought pretty much at the top averaging £98 a share , currently £73, the stocks it composing of are rocket lab , planet lab, asts etc, i thought it would go up a …