Posts
Tax equivalent yields from tax free money markets
I'm trying to figure out whether I am calculating this correctly. Assume 37% Fed Rate, NIIT of 3.8, and 4.95 IL state tax SUTXX - all UST - 3.54 yield is equivalent to 3.72 SWOXX - all munis - 1.8 yield is equivalent to 3.04 SNAXX - taxable MM = …
M&A Market Outlook: Six Deal Predictions for 2026
# M&A Market Outlook: Six Deal Predictions for 2026 **The Forgotten Code Research Institute** **January 30, 2026** # Executive Summary Based on proprietary market analysis, we are publishing six specific M&A predictions for calendar year 2026. Our research methodology has demonstrated consistent accuracy in identifying major transactions 6-12 months prior …
What happened to FEAR in the market?
I understand the AI boom and datacenter build out, the earnings of the MAG 7 in the past year, but the continued historical lows on the **VIX** continues to be a bit puzzling. Is this euphoric/bubble behavior (some may say irrational exuberance) or justified based on earnings and the potential …
Wall Street Seems to be Undervaluing Uber over Fears of Autonomous Robotaxis Destroying It's Business, but I don't think that's the Right Way to Look at It!
In a nutshell, I think that Uber is undervalued because its growth is being significantly downplayed by Wall Street which is chasing the autonomous robotaxi game. While I definitely think autonomous vehicles and robotaxis are the way of the future, I think that AVs and robotaxis will only serve to …
Trump says he will announce a replacement for Powell as Fed chair Friday morning
[Breaking News] - Speaking at the premiere for “Melania,” the film about first lady Melania Trump, the president said the five-month odyssey of finding his pick to succeed current Chair Jerome Powell is about to end. The process for deciding on Powell’s replacement began in September with an 11-candidate field …
Etsy Short Thesis - Near-Term Failure
You should look into Etsy and their general circular internal stock compensation/buyback series. Outgoing CEO Josh Silverman was paid over $200 million in sold stock compensation, at a time when the company was overpaying for acquisitions, as seen in their recent dispositions at a 90% loss. While paying executives excessive …
16m trying to figure if I should open a custodial ira or what?
i got about 4-5k saved up from gambling and side businesses, i was wondering should i get my parents to open me a custodial ira or what should i do? ive looked around and im interested in stocks. please give me tips or let me know what i should do …
Is there any way to know or to discuss how the US markets will open based on the news and predictions?
Hi! You all know that when markets open they are always somewhat unstable and often rise or fall sharply; there are enormous variations in the first few minutes of the markets (I'm referring to the US markets, which are the only ones that interest me). For example, today the markets …
Employer deducts their simple IRA match from our year end bonus. Legal?
My employer matches 3% into our simple IRA, but then takes their match out of our year end bonus. For example, we received a $6000 bonus this year. If their match was $2500 for the year, your new bonus would be $3500. Is that even legal? They are actually a …
Noticed something interesting with GLD today
The share price of GLD (Gold trust) opened up 2%, dropped to -5%, and closed around 0%. Over that time, I was tracking the price of OTM calls with expiry dates 6 month - 1 year out. I noticed that the options prices were \*up\* (by around 10%) when the …