Posts
What are people doing as far as cash positions? Are you fully invested? Raising cash, and if so how much (5%, 10%, 20%, more)?
The buffet indicator (normally he sells at 120%) is now at 220%. Berkshire has $320 billion in cash and has been a net seller over the last 2 years. Should we all be raising cash for whatever correction is coming? Especially if you are 10 or less years from retirement.
Tomorrow: US-Iran Nuclear Talks in Geneva – Will Oil Explode or Crash Hard?
Tomorrow, Tuesday February 17, 2026, in Geneva: second round of indirect US-Iran negotiations on the nuclear program, still mediated by Oman. Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi is already on site since yesterday. He met IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi and the Omani Foreign Minister. On the US side, expect Steve …
Will AI's effect on employment render the Fed useless?
The Fed's dual mandate is: maximum employment, stable prices (aiming for 2% long-term inflation), and moderate long-term interest rates. The fed does this primarily with the federal funds rate and QE/QT. AI's goal is to significantly eliminate the need for labor. So, what if: when unemployment rises due to AI …
Huge market crash or great reset coming?
Since fear is constantly being pumped, even during nice minor uptrends, there are always people who say “something is about to happen.” Someone out there always says we are in a bubble, that a crash is coming soon, etc. I only know one thing: these people can’t foresee the future …
Mid term results effect on stock market?
With the mid terms at the end of the year, with the results going either ways what kind of an effect would it have on the stock market? How do you personally think the midterms will impact markets (volatility, sector rotation, rally, pullback, etc.)? Are you making any changes to …
VICI having $17B in debt. Does the 61.7% FCF margin make it okay?
Been looking at REITs lately and VICI's numbers caught me off guard a bit. 61.7% free cash flow margin. Every quarter for the past 5 quarters they're pulling between $577M and $643M like it's nothing. S&P 500 median is 14.1% btw. But then the 17.1B in debt with only $524M …
Any thoughts on opening an account with Ariel investments?
I appreciate Ariel Investment's emphasis on investing in small and mid-cap stocks. I see a lot of the work their CEO Mellody Hobson does and I'm curious about learning more. I primarily work with Charles Schwab for my investing needs but looking to invest a little elsewhere. Has anyone had …
Portfolio diversification advice
Hi everyone, I'm currently a full-time university student with no financial liabilities. I have around $8,000 in capital available to invest, and about $150 a month to invest. Early 2025, I started picking individual stocks (TSLA, NVDA, NET) during the dip and would set limit orders once I hit a …
Conferencia de Seguridad de Múnich y decisiones de inversión
El mercado está reevaluando el “riesgo de paz”. Durante décadas, Europa cotizó con una prima de paz que permitía un gasto social desmedido. Esa era ha muerto. El capital ahora exige una prima de seguridad. Tus decisiones deben alinearse con los proveedores de esa seguridad, castigando a los activos dependientes …
The rare fish theory of investing
In most cases, while investing in any business, you should have a safe, de-risked plan. That’s how you would normally invest. If someone comes to you and says: 1. There’s a 70% chance the company will fail and you’ll lose your money. 2. I couldn’t deliver before, but I want …