Posts
Does it make sense to diversify AMZN right now?
let's say I have $100,000 worth AMZN stocks and it is almost 50% of my portfolio. so I want to diversify. is right now a good time to do that while entire market is down, so I incur less capital gains and also get other stocks (let's say VTI) at …
Todays spx gamma analysis shows 6500 - 6400 range dont buy it.
I am postinig the todays gamma pin zone. this is done by an ai system running on aws. which connects to my broker, gets live data, does anlaysis backtest and suggests trades automatically. 6500 ████████████ CALL WALL (resistance, dealer sells) 6450 ████████ GAMMA PIN CENTER (SPX \~6440 now) 6400 ████████████ …
Moving 200k out of TRBCX, where to park it?
Title says it. I have 200k in TRBCX in a legacy account at T Rowe Price I've had for 20 years. I'm not happy with the performance compared to VOO or FXAIX or other ETFs. And am tired of paying cap gain taxes on it each year. Am thinking of …
What is the reason that Buffett said his company might 'own this stock forever' when talking about Occidental Petroleum?
I made a post asking about this stock back in January (cross posting now allowed) and Buffett was still underwater on this position back then. Well he's not under water any longer! To explain the title, he made a remark in one of this shareholder letters that said Occidental might …
Investing in taxable brokerage account
I'm 19 and I am starting a taxable brokerage account. I have maxed my Roth IRA for the last 2 years, but that is handled by my financial advisor. I want to have my own brokerage account to maybe retire early or have easy access to some money if I …
Did Q1 teach you anything new?
Q1 turned out anything but calm. Between geopolitics, energy moves, and shifting expectations, a lot has been happening...and still is. So, what’s one specific lesson you took away from this eventful quarter? Something you learned from what actually happened in the market.
Show me the Incentives Substack
Hi Everyone, I pretty recently started a new Substack. It's fairly niche-y I think & I hope it could add some value to your investment process. I mainly focus on event driven trades or companies, industries or themes that are inflecting & or have catalysts. It's inspired by (the great) …
The market regime just shifted to risk-off for the first time since 2022. Here is what the data says historically happens next.
I track a composite market regime score that weights four dimensions: technical momentum, macroeconomic leading indicators, volatility regime, and sentiment. This week it moved into confirmed risk-off territory for the first time since late 2022. Here is what the current readings look like. Technical momentum is deteriorating. SPY has made …
Gold price since 1833. The 190 years of data showing every crash, bull run, and paradigm shift.
From the gold standard era through Nixon's 1971 shock to today's safe-haven rallies, the data includes almost two centuries of price history in one chart. Key moments visible: the 1934 FDR devaluation, the 1971 end of Bretton Woods, the 1980 inflation peak, the 2008 financial crisis spike, and the COVID-era …
Inflation - Why the Iran War Will Impact CPI (a follow up)
First, my claim: Due to a mix of factors impacting both the supply and demand for petroleum products, along with other factors, we will see a sustained increase in prices for these commodities that will ripple through the rest of the supply chain impacting overall inflation levels. Yesterday I made …