Posts
Oil moved 12% in 90 minutes yesterday on the Iran strike postponement. The people who knew first made money. The rest read about it on CNN.
The information asymmetry on geopolitical events is the biggest edge in energy markets right now. Yesterday the Trump/Iran strike postponement was on squawk feeds at 11:05:32 GMT. Brent was already moving before most retail traders had seen a headline. I run a concentrated Iran/energy portfolio (LNG, Shell, BAE, Rheinmetall) and …
when a company announces buyback program, does this mean a good signal?
im tracking down the AVs sector for a long time now and recently WeRide Q4 doubled their revenue, narrow losses by 34% and they also announced $100M buyback which has me considering the cash incinerator label for this industry. Companies like Tesla or Aurora are looking for the next multi …
Am I missing something on UiPath ($PATH)? The market is sleeping on the Microsoft and Deloitte deals, their unmatched security moat, and the massive sector validation from Meta buying Manus.
The market is obsessing over the heavy insider selling and the massive stock-based compensation (SBC), basically treating the stock like a dying legacy tech company instead of an AI asset. But if you actually look at their balance sheet and the strategic pivot they're making right now, the post-hype pessimism …
Is there a point where diversification stops helping and just adds noise?
I keep seeing arguments for adding more asset classes - alternatives, different geographies, different structures. But at some point it feels like you're just adding complexity without meaningful risk reduction. Where do you personally draw that line?
Crude Oil Reprices Headlines, but Refinery Stress Keeps Inflation Risk Alive
Source: [Crude Oil Reprices Headlines, but Refinery Stress Keeps Inflation Risk Alive | Investing.com](https://www.investing.com/analysis/crude-oil-reprices-headlines-but-refinery-stress-keeps-inflation-risk-alive-200677151) Crude is reacting to headlines. But inflation isn’t being priced there. The real pressure is building downstream. Refining capacity is tight, jet fuel in Asia is trading above 200, and transport costs are starting to reprice …
Apollo Just Gave Investors Only 45% of Requested Withdrawals. BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, and Blue Owl Are Doing the Same Thing.
Source: [https://beincrypto.com/apollo-private-credit-withdrawal-cap-stress/](https://beincrypto.com/apollo-private-credit-withdrawal-cap-stress/) Apollo's $25 billion private credit fund received withdrawal requests of 11.2% this quarter and honored less than half of them, capped at 5%. BlackRock did the same with its $26 billion fund, Blue Owl replaced withdrawal requests with IOUs entirely, and Morgan Stanley got hit with 10.9% redemption …
What do investors think about those who invest in Pokémon?
As someone who has spent roughly $3000 on pokemon investments alone, I’m wondering what those (who don’t dabble in Pokemon) think about it. What once started as a children’s card game turned into something adults would fight over at your local Target. Feel free to ask any questions you may …
UNH average price at 270USD
I just allocated 80% my cash to UNH. The company doesn’t rely on massive energy consumption unlike NVDA. The company doesn’t rely on cyclic abusive financing unlike AMD-META. The company doesn’t buy bitcoins unlike TSLA. The company doesn’t sell shares to the US government unlike INTC. The company doesn’t have …
Is a 401k important in my scenario?
I have a Roth IRA that I max out every year and a brokerage account that I put other money in. I'm a 1099 worker with 0 benefits so there's no 401k option with the company. I've heard about Solo 401k but I don't really understand it. **Is Roth IRA+Brokerage …
Global Reserve Currency Shift: Why the US Dollar Still Leads Amidst Decline
The US dollar’s role as the world’s main reserve currency is unquestionably facing a slow but meaningful decline. This trend started around 2001 and has gathered pace especially after the 2008 global financial crisis. More recently, the Russia-Ukraine conflict has further shaken confidence, pushing global central banks and investors to …