Posts
📊 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims Update
The latest data from the U.S. Department of Labor shows that 1.818 million people are still receiving unemployment benefits. This is slightly higher than the forecast (1.810M) and above the previous reading. What this tells us Continuing jobless claims measure how many people remain unemployed and continue to claim benefits …
Emerging Markets and the Upcoming Oil Crunch
It looks like there will be a worldwide oil shortage as the Iran war has backed up supply, forced buyers to drain reserves, and has no real end in sight. It seems that this would hit emerging markets the most. Yet, they are back to pre-war levels. What am I …
Tesla’s latest earnings are kind of a perfect example of how markets think right now
Tesla’s latest earnings are a good example of how markets are reacting less to numbers and more to direction. On paper, the results were strong. Profit was up 136% YoY and earnings came in above expectations at $0.41 per share. In most cases, that would be enough to support the …
Robotics boom exposure before being cool
What robotics etfs you have? I made a pie of 60% KOID, 20% WTAI, 10% LIT and 10% BOTZ. Since semis and AIs are through the roof, I tried to find \\\*picks and shovels\\\* of robotics, since these arent through the roof. Also wanted ASIA exposure and limited Tesla and …
Trade war 2026: which sectors win and lose from tariffs (with 3 actionable moves)
I was looking at my portfolio allocation last week and started thinking about how trade war cycles historically affect different sectors. The 2018 data is pretty clear; domestic industrials and gold significantly outperformed while consumer retail got crushed. Broke it down with some specific ETF ideas for anyone trying to …
Capturing oil upside on volatility and backwardation
USOI essentially, they sell covered calls on front month crude oil futures besides the fact that the strait of hormuz is still closed and hedge fund managers are still long crude, I want to point out two things that makes this fund set to outperform as well as a future …
The Impact of Social Media on Stock Market Performance
I came across this scientific paper: **The Impact of Social Media on Stock Market Performance: Premium vs. Non-Premium Stock Recommendations** **By Tucker Cashman** The study suggests that the platform itself matters. TikTok and X influencers demonstrated stronger long‑term performance, while Reddit‑based recommendations underperformed consistently. Overall, the findings suggest that credibility, …
This market is not ignoring risk, it’s just still trusting earnings more than it fears oil
I think a lot of people misread a market like this. They see oil stay high, the dollar stay firm, and geopolitical noise keep coming, then assume stocks should already be rolling over. But equities do not price raw fear very well. They price transmission. And right now the market …
Lost my car and buy some stock instead of keeping the money in a bank
Had to sell my car because it broke beyond repair and have R20 000 that I would like to put into a stock for the next two months while I think about what I want to do with the money. I currently have rocket lab but its high at the …
Holding isn't passive, even when most people treat it like it is
People talk about “just holding” like it’s the default, passive option in investing. Like once you’ve bought something, doing nothing is the neutral state. But that never really made sense to me. If you own a stock today, you’re implicitly choosing *not* to sell it and put that money somewhere …