Posts
Ciena just showed why AI infrastructure is bigger than Nvidia
[$CIEN](https://x.com/search?q=%24CIEN&src=cashtag_click) reported a strong fiscal Q1 as customers scaled high-speed networking infrastructure for AI demand. Key numbers: Revenue came in at $1.43B, up 33.1% year-over-year. Adjusted EPS was $1.64 vs. $1.47 expected, an 11.6% beat. The bigger story was operating leverage: Adjusted EPS in the company release rose to $1.35 …
what do you think matters more for long-term investing: producers or early-stage explorers?
i’ve been thinking about the difference lately between investing in established companies versus early-stage resource explorers. producers seem more straightforward: revenue, cash flow, existing operations, exposure to commodity prices. explorers are a completely different category. a lot of them have no production and sometimes not even a defined resource yet. …
Looking for peer-review on a rules-based long-term equity strategy (20-year backtest outperforming S&P 500)
Hey everyone, I’ve spent the last several months building, refining, and codifying an investment thesis focused on long-term public equity holdings. The goal was to build a rigorous, rules-based strategy that focuses on structural advantages rather than short-term macro speculation or high-frequency trading. **The Data So Far:** * **The Backtest:** …
Comparing Cash Flow Valuations Across Leading Tech Giants
Meta is currently trading at one of the lowest P/OCF multiples among the big tech names, which is interesting given how strong its fundamentals have been. For context, P/OCF looks like this right now: Meta \~12x Microsoft \~20x Amazon \~19x Google \~26x Comparison pulled from StockNest: stocknest.app/?t=AMZN,GOOGL,META,MSFT&m=pocf Over the past …
Convincing parents to invest
Hi all, As the title goes, how do I convince my parents to invest? Luckily they have a decent pension fund that may be just enough to sustain living back in our home country which I would consider LCOL. However, my issue is that they are just cash savers. No …
Late To The Storage Unit Game?
I've owned retail businesses for a little over 20 years. The last three in particular have been very good to us. I was happy (and a bit lazy) when MMAs were in the upper 4% range as a stop gap until we figured out what moves to actually make. I'm …
Is avgo still a good buy or is this its end?
I always heard that avgo is a good buy, but it dropped hard after earning, but the same happened to nvda, which makes me think it is still a good buy and what happened is like a black Friday sale, do i take the chance and buy it or its …
Short presentation of three high conviction stocks
**Rockwool A/S (ROCK-B)** \- The only pure play stone wool insulation stock out there. Trading below historic valuations (adj P/E at around 13.5); mainly attributed to two headwinds; asset seizure (Russia) and increased energy costs (Hormuz). The company is considered quality due to decent profitability, strong capital allocation and a …
Buy the pure dip season??
Damn, tech and telecom took a massive beating today, nasdaq down almost a full percent and s&p leaking. honestly? looks like a textbook overreaction. Chartr hitting a 5-year low is wild, there has got to be a massive pricing mismatch there if you dig into the cash flow. Plus vix …
The public process is underway ... good luck!
OK, boys and girls, it's starting: I just got the email announcement of the **Space Exploration Technologies Corp.** IPO from Fidelity. Cute: instead of a "nice, round" number of shares, 555,555,555 are being offered. (We have a week to "indicate our intent"; typically there's 24-48 hours, so that's different too.) …