Posts
Is the AI Bubble Popping? Here's What I'm Actually Watching
Oracle's 5-year CDS jumped to \~139 bps recently. Not a disaster, but it's a reminder that the bond market isn't fully buying the AI growth story. Microsoft has paused some data center leases and canceled projects. When hyperscalers start tapping the brakes, it's worth paying attention. VCs poured $270B into …
The 4 AI infrastructure problems every institutional investor seems to have
As a founder building AI infrastructure for institutional finance, I regularly speak with the teams at the absolute forefront of adopting AI for their funds. Over the last few months, I’ve noticed a distinct pattern. While the exact deployment process is always highly nuanced and unique to each firm, the …
How many holdings before diversification becomes diworsification?
I have seen many portfolios with 40 to 60 positions that basically end up mirroring indexes while still charging management fees. At some point too much diversification just feels like complexity for the sake of looking sophisticated. how many holdings do you all think is normal for a portfolio which …
Buy and hold vs. active trading, how do you decide?
Been investing for a couple years now. Started out pure buy and hold, mostly index funds with a few individual names I liked. Felt like the responsible thing to do: don't touch it, let it ride, tune out the noise. But the more I watch the market, the harder that …
AI is real. The AI bubble is also real. Both things can be true.
I don’t understand why every AI debate turns into two extreme camps. One side acts like AI is fake and useless. The other side acts like questioning AI valuations means you’re some anti-technology caveman who doesn’t understand the future. The more realistic answer is probably this: AI is real, useful, …
Is VT also safe from SpaceX risk?
Have read a few posts how VTI is safe as they take 5 days before adding to the fund, and it is weighted based on the float (I’m not very financially technical but something along those lines). Is VT the same? Just want to be sure, the idea of being …
Michael Burry Calls Elon Musk-Nvidia AI Deal 'Fugazi': Warns Retirees of Hidden Risks
[https://www.ibtimes.co.uk/michael-burry-ai-bubble-warning-1800028](https://www.ibtimes.co.uk/michael-burry-ai-bubble-warning-1800028) Burry warned in a recent post on Substack that leading companies like Nvidia and Elon Musk's xAI are leveraging GPU-backed securities deal structures to secure funding to power their growing AI data centres while putting the retirement funds of Americans at risk. Burry detailed in his post the exact …
For who is going to invest in space x, what math you did to justify your decision? (Only serious pro space x answers)
explain your math to justify the price you’re buying at ipo. what profits you expect to have in absolute numbers ? ipo market cap is around: 1900 billion revenue: 18.7b profit around: -5b you expect the profit to reach what in how much time? and what you think will help …
Should I Add a Small-Cap ETF or Wait for Vanguard’s Global All Cap ETF?
Hi everyone, I’m currently invested in a single ETF, an all-world fund, and I’ve recently crossed the £10,000 mark. I was wondering whether it would make sense to add a small-cap ETF, as my current fund only includes large- and mid-cap companies. I also remember seeing that Vanguard is planning …
Is the Fed raising rates a good response to oil inflation?
The recent rise in inflation, due to iran and oil. Should the Fed step in with higher rates or should the market deal with it? Example: Fed raises rates. That will increase costs, slow economy/recession and produce layoffs. this will reduce demand on everything and lower inflation. The Fed doesnt …