Posts
Let’s talk about steel manufacturing for a moment
Hyperscalers are committing anywhere between $600-700B in Capex for 2026. Most of this money will be spent on infrastructure build-out, specifically data-centers (DC). Every DC before it ever touches a GPU or rack, needs steel. It's estimated that each DC will need >20,000 tons of steel. This information isn't new, …
MSFT $ 500 Call
MSFT is beaten down way too much. People can vibe code something like Intuit or Team but not a full on operating system, cloud, game controller and office suite with distributed collab. Even if vibe coding creates lot of new software companies they will all need to be hosted in …
Traders placed $580mn in oil bets ahead of Trump’s social media post on Iran talks
FT: Traders placed $580 million worth of oil trades 15 minutes prior to President Trump’s post about a potential peace deal with Iran. It is not known whether one entity or several entities were behind these trades These trades likely generated over $100 million worth of profit in- 20 minutes. …
The Treasury just declared the U.S. insolvent. The media missed it
Russia’s Primorsk Oil Port Hit by Drones With Fuel Tank on Fire
HMH Holding Targets $948M Valuation In US IPO Push
Thousands of Brent and WTI contracts changed hands 15 minutes before president’s message on Truth Social
Market manipulation so blatant
Just five minutes before the announcement to halt the strikes on Iran an insider bought $1.5 billion in S&P and sold $192 million.
In one move, $1.5 billion in S&P 500 (ES) futures was bought while $192 million in oil (CL) futures was sold. These orders were 4–6x larger than anything else at the time. The trader seemingly made huge gains.
Traders placed $580mn in oil bets ahead of Donald Trump’s social media post on Iran talks
Traders made bets worth half a billion dollars in the oil market about 15 minutes before Donald Trump’s post touting 'productive' talks with Iran sent the price of crude tumbling and ignited volatility in other assets. Roughly 6,200 Brent and West Texas Intermediate futures contracts changed hands between 6.49am and …