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Meta Platforms conservative fair value is ~$810/share (feedback welcome)
Would appreciate pushback on the assumptions below. I'm currently landing at fair value of \~$810/share vs. \~$640/share. For context - META is one of my largest positions in my portfolio (\~$3mm notional - check my post history). Link to my model in Google Sheets: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dlt-9YaB1uV3RF4jz6snuS2GCahCeZPJHuCKcCUIm10/edit?gid=1127915579#gid=1127915579](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dlt-9YaB1uV3RF4jz6snuS2GCahCeZPJHuCKcCUIm10/edit?gid=1127915579#gid=1127915579) * Assuming revenue grows 20% …
Meta Platforms conservative fair value ~$810/share (feedback welcome)
Would appreciate pushback on the assumptions below. I'm currently landing at fair value of \~$810/share vs. \~$640/share. For context, META is one of my largest positions in my portfolio (\~$3mm cost, check my post history for context) Link to my model on Google Sheets: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dlt-9YaB1uV3RF4jz6snuS2GCahCeZPJHuCKcCUIm10/edit?gid=1127915579#gid=1127915579](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dlt-9YaB1uV3RF4jz6snuS2GCahCeZPJHuCKcCUIm10/edit?gid=1127915579#gid=1127915579) * Assuming revenue grows 20% …
France Blocks Polymarket Ahead of World Cup 3rd Place Match
Record exports, record imports, and then a GDP miss 24 hours later. One of my assumptions about how these numbers fit together is wrong.
I have been running China as a single macro bet for two years, and the data sequence on July 14 and 15 broke something I thought I understood. On July 14, customs reported June exports at $412.4 billion, up 27% year over year, an all time record. Imports hit $286.8 …
CXMT priced an $8.5B IPO at 308x ahead of July 27 debut, days after its sector rose 8.41% and gave it back
I spent the morning of July 14, 2026 reading the pricing release for what is now the largest Chinese semiconductor listing ever. The company priced at 8.66 yuan per share, roughly 308.9 times trailing earnings. The base deal is 6.688 billion shares raising 57.9 billion yuan, about $8.5 billion at …
FVRR - value stock or value trap?
Healthy balance sheet with virtually 0 debt Diluted EPS increasing Y/Y OP CF and FCF increasing Y/Y Rev increasing and net income increasing Y/Y As of this writing its priced below 1x sales What am I missing here?
Free Relative Strength & Weakness indicator for Tradingview
I've made a relative strength & weakness indicator for Tradingview, which is made for tech/growth stocks. It tracks QQQ moving averages and also moving averages of the stock being viewed. It works on simple principles: **Relative Strength** \-When QQQ crosses below a moving average while the stock stays above it …
Anyone else have a 20% rule?
It’s a weird kind of learned behavior, but whenever I see this notification it almost always follows with a reversal. So most of the time I will seriously consider immediately selling. Only once on Robinhood have I seen a 50% notification. I always long my options and will hold past …