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TARGET · META

META → $810.00 by Oct 16, 2026.

W
withthepotboyreddit
via r/ValueInvesting
· Published Jul 18, 2026 16:58 · Valid until Oct 16, 2026 · ACTIVE
Entry
$642.09
Now
$542.75 -15.5%
Target
$810.00
Score
Would appreciate pushback on the assumptions below. I'm currently landing at fair value of \~$810/share vs. \~$640/share. For context, META is one of my largest positions in my portfolio (\~$3mm cost, check my post history for context) Link to my model on Google Sheets: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dlt-9YaB1uV3RF4jz6snuS2GCahCeZPJHuCKcCUIm10/edit?gid=1127915579#gid=1127915579](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dlt-9YaB1uV3RF4jz6snuS2GCahCeZPJHuCKcCUIm10/edit?gid=1127915579#gid=1127915579) * Assuming revenue grows 20% annually (20% FoA growth and Reality Labs stays flat) through 2030 with \~100bps of EBITDA margin expansion. This is probably conservative as I'm essentially assuming 100% of Opex is fixed …
— ORIGINAL POST · Meta Platforms conservative fair value ~$810/share (feedback welcome) · r/ValueInvesting · Jul 18, 2026