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Total posts
2607
Total predictions
1042
Success rate
11.7%
Avg score
0.03
Posts
POST

Reverse DCF + Base Rates: A Better Way to Test Growth Expectations

REDDIT / long_term_compounder / Oct 10, 2026

I recently wrote about reverse DCF and one concept I think deserves more attention: **base rates**. Instead of only asking whether a company's growth story sounds plausible, base rates ask how often similar companies have actually achieved that level of …

POST

Feelings Are For Relationships, Not Investing

REDDIT / Efficient_Style3422 / Oct 10, 2026

Recently I had a client approach me saying he wanted to pull everything out of the market until he saw what he was looking for. I asked him what that was and he said I don’t know, just when I …

BUY

$TOYO update #3: the best setup I've found all year

REDDIT / AhmOB / Oct 10, 2026

I have posted about TOYO twice here Part 1 ([https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/s/NsHDGmsfm7](https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/s/NsHDGmsfm7)), Part 2 ([https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/s/IEDhxiQjy9](https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/s/IEDhxiQjy9))). Both times people pushed back hard, and I went and checked everything they threw at me. Every time I ended up buying more. I'm heavily long, so …

POST

An excerpt from Chapter 14: Deja Vu - John Neff

REDDIT / raytoei / Oct 10, 2026

Below is an excerpt from the beginning of chapter 14 from John Neff's book. He wrote this chapter in July 1999, four years after he retired from from the Vanguard Windsor Fund. He wrote this in the backdrop where the …

BUY

$etor potential compounder

REDDIT / stock_novic / Oct 9, 2026

I have been looking into etor for a while and recently purchased it as part of my portfolio. And I will increase my stake around and below a pe of 10 Below are a few metrics on etoro. Financial Performance …

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