For a long time, I judged strategies mostly by **win rate**. Higher win rate = better strategy. Or so I thought. After digging into a bunch of backtests recently, what kept showing up was the opposite: * Some of the …
We just watched BTC wick down to test $60k and SOL dump 20+% in a single day, yet my timeline is still full of influencers posting 'WAGMI' and 'just a healthy correction'. Can we stop the toxic positivity for five …
Since **Nov 2025**, looking at the same window across three common investment exposures: * **Equities (SPY)**: small gains, high volatility * **Bitcoin (IBIT)**: steady decline * **Gold (GLD)**: clear outperformance One important clarification: this is **not spot prices**. The comparison …
everyone’s talking about what went wrong this month, btc down \~25%, no tax relief in the budget, penalties everywhere but there’s one shift nobody’s connecting. india is joining global crypto data sharing (carf). from 2027, offshore exchanges will share transaction …
I get that checks are part of crypto now, whatever. What drives me nuts is when a simple swap turns into a multi-day bureaucratic quest. Upload this, wait, upload again, wait some more. Lately I’ve been sticking to flows where …
Lets be realistic guys, Cycles always lasted 4 years, 2017-2021-2025 we might actually be going into bear market for 4 years , everybody telling you to buy the dip but so did people in 2022 and look what happened, We …