Is there an options trading strategy that has positive expected profit? I.e., average profit \* probability of profit > average loss \* probability of loss I can only think of market making - buying at the bid and selling at …
DISCLAIMER: pt 1 is still playing out. High THEORETICAL VALUE is how I like to think of my near worthless calls that I’m of course still holding. Let me back up, so I’ve been bullish on PLNT since mid January …
I’ve been experimenting with options structures and built a setup combining a long straddle with short OTM call and put wings, essentially using vertical spreads to offset some of the straddle’s downside. I haven’t found much discussion on this exact …
Hey Team, for a couple years I was doing great selling daily covered calls (my only options experience) against various longs in my account. I uncharacteristically got distracted around tariff/Liberation Day and made some emotional bets on my SPY that …
DAILY IV OPPORTUNITIES BRIEF — FRIDAY, MAY 8, 2026 **SECTION 1: MARKET CONTEXT** Futures are green across the board this morning — SPY +0.51%, QQQ +0.73%, IWM +0.48%, DIA +0.33% — broad-based risk-on tone with tech leading. VIXY is down …
I’ve just stated learning about options this year. I keep it simple so far, with selling ITM cash secured pits. My main motivation is acquiring ETF shares, because I can’t purchase them directly (I live in the EU). Some of …
BRK has a record high 56% of portfolio in cash ($397 billion). They claim mostly in Treasury bills. Do you think that's only half of the truth and they keep generating solid income on it by selling "cash" secured deep …
Cloudflare is down nearly 19% after hours despite beating Q1 expectations. Looks like the market is reacting less to the headline earnings and more to the 20% workforce cut, restructuring costs, and softer near-term guidance. That put I bought before …
Sample size is too small to trade based on this …need more. Right? 🟢 MRNA — $49 Call, 8 days to expiration Unusual Flow: $1.1M of these calls in volume-burst activity (no clean sweep pattern). Historical Performance (21 similar setups) …
It seems extremely likely that the oil price will be much lower than the current price in a year or two, let alone 952 days from now, when the furthest out USO options end. I know that funds like USO …