Sample size is too small to trade based on this …need more. Right?
🟢 MRNA — $49 Call, 8 days to expiration
Unusual Flow: $1.1M of these calls in volume-burst activity (no clean sweep pattern).
Historical Performance (21 similar setups)
(broadened match — relaxed: sector, regime)
• 13 of 21 (62%) → options reached +50% within 10 days
• 12 of 21 (57%) → options reached +100% within 10 days
• 9 of 21 (43%) → options reached +200% within 10 days
• Average peak return: +222.0%
Underlying Stock Behavior
• 16 of 21 (76%) → MRNA moved +5% or more
• Average move: +14.4%
Best Recent Example
• MRNA on February 26, 2026:
\- Stock: +15.2%
\- Option: +262.1% peak
Confidence
• MEDIUM (29 past occurrences)